LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 16 October 2016

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 25
  3. 33
  4. 46
  5. 51
  6. 1

The crowdHeld 29% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 355 of 868 under them

← 2016-10-09All recent draws2016-10-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 25 33 46 51 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each

229times
2527times
3337times
4624times
51

Prize breakdown · 2016-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 372k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€181.8K
  • 2+031%€401.9K
  • 0+126%€326.1K
  • 5 other tiers29%€369K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

33times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

132times

Every number was expected about that many times after 354 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 33, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 November 2014 — its closest relative in 354 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.0 by chance€181,764
  • 4+113≈ 28 by chance€2,542
  • 4+0183≈ 251 by chance€211
  • 3+1711≈ 1.3k by chance€61.97
  • 3+08,192≈ 12k by chance€17.48
  • 2+111,903≈ 21k by chance€9.25
  • 2+0133,969≈ 189k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1217,399≈ 217k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 711 winners, 47% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€181,764
    4+113€2,542
    4+0183€211
    3+1711€61.97
    3+08,192€17.48
    2+111,903€9.25
    2+0133,969€3.00
    0+1217,399€1.50