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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 11 May 2025

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 16
  3. 27
  4. 41
  5. 42
  6. 9

Jackpot€19,700,000

The crowdHeld 38% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 792 of 869 under them

← 2025-05-04All recent draws2025-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 16 27 41 42 + 92 Nov 2026, 00:41 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each

283times
1663times
2785times
4167times
42

Prize breakdown · 2025-05-11

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 414k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€169.5K
  • 2+032%€412.5K
  • 0+129%€380.6K
  • 5 other tiers26%€344.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

70times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each

982times

Every number was expected about that many times after 791 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (2, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 March 2025 — its closest relative in 791 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 May 2025): 16 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€169,453
  • 4+116≈ 33 by chance€1,926
  • 4+0172≈ 293 by chance€209
  • 3+1908≈ 1.6k by chance€45.24
  • 3+08,274≈ 14k by chance€16.14
  • 2+113,896≈ 25k by chance€7.39
  • 2+0137,492≈ 221k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1253,729≈ 254k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 13,896 winners, 43% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€169,453
    4+116€1,926
    4+0172€209
    3+1908€45.24
    3+08,274€16.14
    2+113,896€7.39
    2+0137,492€3.00
    0+1253,729€1.50