Number 45

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

84times drawn · chance expected 80 +0.45σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 82% for any number

10.3average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

42longest completed wait · 79% chance of one at least that long

45 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 84 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, +0.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 45, draw by draw

Drawn 84 times in 866 draws · average wait 10.3 draws · longest completed wait 42 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 45 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest1 · chance 1.1
3rd smallest9 · chance 9.8
4th smallest34 · chance 34.2
5th smallest40 · chance 38.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

28 24 27 3 49 51

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 45 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 45 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-20	16	5th	1 21 23 28 45
2026-05-31	13	4th	28 29 41 45 52
2026-03-01	6	4th	3 13 25 45 52
2026-01-18	1	5th	5 33

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 45 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2022-07-31	2	3rd	2 36 45 47 51
2022-07-17	41	5th	1 4 6 36 45
2021-10-03	4	4th	33 43 44 45 46
2021-09-05	1	5th	1 16 30 35 45
2021-08-29	30	4th	8 19 23 45 46
2021-01-31	5	5th	3 8 26 32 45
2020-12-27	5	5th	16 24 30 41 45
2020-11-22	2	5th	18 24 28 36 45
2020-11-08	6	5th	6 23 39 43 45
2020-09-27	24	3rd	1 27 45 48 54
2020-02-02	3	5th	8 15 22 38 45
2020-01-12	9	4th	31 34 44 45 47
2019-11-10	21	4th	3 7 22 45 49
2019-06-16	4	5th	9 24 27 43 45
2019-05-19	18	5th	19 20 24 37 45
2019-01-13	8	4th	2 24 44 45 48
2018-11-18	2	5th	19 27 39 42 45
2018-11-04	4	3rd	2 18 45 49 51
2018-10-07	14	5th	27 35 36 40 45
2018-07-01	22	4th	20 25 37 45 46
2018-01-28	22	5th	3 5 11 41 45
2017-08-27	6	4th	9 21 31 45 46
2017-07-16	9	3rd	24 38 45 47 51
2017-05-14	10	5th	13 23 24 25 45
2017-03-05	9	4th	3 35 42 45 54
2017-01-01	1	4th	6 10 32 45 51
2016-12-25	26	4th	9 18 19 45 53
2016-06-26	42	5th	14 27 39 44 45
2015-09-06	6	4th	2 20 28 45 54
2015-07-26	9	5th	3 28 33 39 45
2015-05-24	10	4th	4 11 28 45 49
2015-03-15	7	5th	4 7 18 27 45
2015-01-25	14	4th	11 23 41 45 54
2014-10-19	10	5th	14 36 39 42 45
2014-08-10	3	5th	8 14 19 21 45
2014-07-20	6	5th	3 5 8 14 45
2014-06-08	12	2nd	9 45 47 49 54
2014-03-16	25	4th	2 27 29 45 49
2013-09-22	25	4th	16 38 44 45 47
2013-03-31	3	5th	12 20 27 36 45
2013-03-10	8	4th	3 9 26 45 49
2013-01-13	11	4th	17 27 44 45 51
2012-10-28	13	5th	23 34 42 43 45
2012-07-29	1	5th	9 11 39 43 45
2012-07-22	2	4th	12 35 40 45 53
2012-07-08	3	5th	19 28 29 33 45
2012-06-17	40	5th	4 17 28 35 45
2011-09-11	1	5th	11 23 27 28 45
2011-09-04	7	5th	6 12 24 34 45
2011-07-17	4	4th	32 35 39 45 49
2011-06-19	8	5th	14 33 36 41 45
2011-04-24	14	4th	14 27 43 45 54
2011-01-16	20	5th	1 6 13 40 45
2010-08-29	9	4th	20 23 28 45 51
2010-06-27	1	3rd	11 27 45 49 52
2010-06-20	8	4th	15 28 31 45 52
2010-04-25	3	5th	4 14 17 32 45
2010-04-04	5	4th	15 32 36 45 47
2010-02-28	3	5th	12 24 28 29 45
2010-02-07	—	3rd	22 24 45 47 51