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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 September 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 8
  3. 27
  4. 40
  5. 52
  6. 4

Jackpot€4,500,000

The crowdHeld 45% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 758 of 869 under them

← 2024-09-08All recent draws2024-09-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 8 27 40 52 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd10th
  • low66th
  • widest gap57th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

277times
871times
2781times
4067times
52

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 387k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 4+116%€187K
  • 2+029%€354K
  • 0+131%€370.8K
  • 4 other tiers24%€292.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

61times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 76 of each

470times

Every number was expected about that many times after 757 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 8, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 March 2013 — its closest relative in 757 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

52 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.2 by chance
no winners
  • 4+18≈ 32 by chance€23,378
  • 4+0122≈ 286 by chance€275
  • 3+1779≈ 1.5k by chance€49.25
  • 3+07,193≈ 14k by chance€17.33
  • 2+113,597≈ 24k by chance€7.05
  • 2+0117,999≈ 215k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1247,201≈ 247k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 779 winners, 49% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+18€23,378
    4+0122€275
    3+1779€49.25
    3+07,193€17.33
    2+113,597€7.05
    2+0117,999€3.00
    0+1247,201€1.50