Number 11

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

102times drawn · chance expected 80 +2.56σ

8draws waiting · a wait this long: 51% for any number

8.3average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

38longest completed wait · 94% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 102 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, +2.56σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 102 times in 866 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 8 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest45 · chance 43.0
2nd smallest34 · chance 43.0
3rd smallest21 · chance 14.2
4th smallest2 · chance 1.8
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

9 15 35 50 21 28

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-16	18	3rd	7 8 11 31 35
2026-04-12	3	2nd	4 11 32 40 54
2026-03-22	1	1st	11 22 28 48 51
2026-03-15	7	1st	11 13

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-06-04	3	3rd	6 9 11 19 42
2023-05-14	21	1st	11 15 16 33 45
2022-12-18	11	3rd	7 8 11 18 50
2022-10-02	4	1st	11 13 35 49 53
2022-09-04	12	1st	11 17 18 29 34
2022-06-12	16	3rd	6 9 11 28 30
2022-02-20	13	3rd	2 9 11 22 43
2021-11-21	10	1st	11 15 22 43 51
2021-09-12	16	1st	11 15 21 35 51
2021-05-23	20	3rd	6 7 11 14 32
2021-01-03	26	1st	11 16 33 35 46
2020-07-05	5	3rd	5 7 11 23 33
2020-05-31	38	2nd	3 11 17 36 54
2019-06-30	7	1st	11 13 26 28 43
2019-05-12	4	3rd	2 10 11 49 54
2019-04-14	11	2nd	7 11 14 33 41
2019-01-27	6	1st	11 20 35 51 53
2018-12-16	11	1st	11 13 26 28 48
2018-09-30	6	1st	11 26 37 41 47
2018-08-19	6	2nd	7 11 17 36 44
2018-07-08	11	1st	11 19 22 29 40
2018-04-22	12	1st	11 13 24 26 41
2018-01-28	1	3rd	3 5 11 41 45
2018-01-21	1	3rd	4 9 11 29 46
2018-01-14	5	3rd	3 5 11 26 33
2017-12-10	1	4th	1 3 8 11 49
2017-12-03	2	2nd	1 11 18 40 50
2017-11-19	1	2nd	9 11 12 36 53
2017-11-12	2	1st	11 30 37 44 49
2017-10-29	10	2nd	9 11 21 51 54
2017-08-20	12	1st	11 14 18 35 50
2017-05-28	8	2nd	1 11 13 50 53
2017-04-02	10	2nd	1 11 17 21 32
2017-01-22	17	1st	11 20 23 32 40
2016-09-25	2	3rd	4 8 11 19 32
2016-09-11	2	1st	11 15 39 42 48
2016-08-28	20	2nd	2 11 13 26 42
2016-04-10	19	2nd	10 11 24 31 50
2015-11-29	4	1st	11 16 34 39 54
2015-11-01	9	3rd	6 10 11 21 31
2015-08-30	10	3rd	4 9 11 27 36
2015-06-21	4	2nd	10 11 21 25 48
2015-05-24	8	2nd	4 11 28 45 49
2015-03-29	1	1st	11 14 17 39 46
2015-03-22	8	1st	11 15 36 42 48
2015-01-25	8	1st	11 23 41 45 54
2014-11-30	24	1st	11 37 38 49 51
2014-06-15	10	2nd	6 11 15 24 38
2014-04-06	1	1st	11 30 37 43 46
2014-03-30	6	1st	11 15 18 23 40
2014-02-16	7	1st	11 41 42 48 53
2013-12-29	1	1st	11 17 21 26 47
2013-12-22	10	1st	11 24 36 43 47
2013-10-13	1	1st	11 24 27 30 50
2013-10-06	10	1st	11 35 37 49 50
2013-07-28	3	1st	11 16 19 32 33
2013-07-07	2	1st	11 16 28 37 44
2013-06-23	19	2nd	1 11 20 38 39
2013-02-10	6	3rd	7 9 11 15 48
2012-12-30	4	3rd	1 2 11 19 47
2012-12-02	18	2nd	6 11 32 47 48
2012-07-29	5	2nd	9 11 39 43 45
2012-06-24	22	2nd	4 11 15 21 35
2012-01-22	1	1st	11 23 24 32 46
2012-01-15	12	2nd	2 11 30 38 41
2011-10-23	3	2nd	6 11 13 15 53
2011-10-02	3	1st	11 15 19 27 35
2011-09-11	24	1st	11 23 27 28 45
2011-03-27	4	2nd	8 11 36 44 51
2011-02-27	5	1st	11 12 21 23 28
2011-01-23	7	1st	11 14 21 33 50
2010-12-05	9	3rd	7 8 11 22 52
2010-10-03	1	2nd	9 11 33 42 50
2010-09-26	13	3rd	4 5 11 15 50
2010-06-27	5	1st	11 27 45 49 52
2010-05-23	1	1st	11 12 18 24 46
2010-05-16	4	2nd	4 11 22 29 31
2010-04-18	—	3rd	5 10 11 28 37