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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 24 October 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 13
  3. 38
  4. 51
  5. 53
  6. 5

Jackpot€8,900,000

The crowdHeld 57% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 607 of 869 under them

← 2021-10-17All recent draws2021-10-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 13 38 51 53 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap83th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread97th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

260times
1353times
3852times
5162times
53

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-24

  • Lines in play≈ 5.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 497k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€229.5K
  • 2+026%€382.6K
  • 0+135%€516.1K
  • 4 other tiers24%€359K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.18 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

60times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

562times

Every number was expected about that many times after 606 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 51, 53) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 May 2017 — its closest relative in 606 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 October 2021): 2, 38 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

53 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.6 by chance
no winners
  • 4+121≈ 44 by chance€10,927
  • 4+0162≈ 398 by chance€254
  • 3+1988≈ 2.1k by chance€47.64
  • 3+07,596≈ 19k by chance€20.14
  • 2+116,725≈ 33k by chance€7.04
  • 2+0127,542≈ 299k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1344,038≈ 344k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 7,596 winners, 60% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+121€10,927
    4+0162€254
    3+1988€47.64
    3+07,596€20.14
    2+116,725€7.04
    2+0127,542€3.00
    0+1344,038€1.50