Number 23

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

81times drawn · chance expected 80 +0.10σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 82% for any number

10.8average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

46longest completed wait · 64% chance of one at least that long

23 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 81 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, +0.10σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 23, draw by draw

Drawn 81 times in 866 draws · average wait 10.8 draws · longest completed wait 46 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest8 · chance 8.7
2nd smallest31 · chance 27.4
3rd smallest27 · chance 29.7
4th smallest14 · chance 13.2
5th smallest1 · chance 2.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 6 12 18 33 40

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-20	7	3rd	1 21 23 28 45
2026-08-02	6	2nd	16 23 29 35 51
2026-06-21	1	3rd	13 17 23 37 44
2026-06-14	10	2nd	12 23

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-11-08	4	2nd	6 23 39 43 45
2020-10-11	1	3rd	13 17 23 25 50
2020-10-04	12	4th	3 6 13 23 37
2020-07-12	1	2nd	10 23 27 28 46
2020-07-05	33	4th	5 7 11 23 33
2019-09-08	9	3rd	2 3 23 27 49
2019-07-07	36	2nd	20 23 24 34 41
2018-10-28	12	3rd	6 19 23 26 35
2018-08-05	17	4th	5 12 16 23 53
2018-04-08	5	2nd	22 23 30 31 33
2018-03-04	2	2nd	1 23 41 43 50
2018-02-18	19	1st	23 30 42 51 54
2017-10-08	3	3rd	10 13 23 37 54
2017-09-17	18	2nd	10 23 36 38 41
2017-05-14	11	2nd	13 23 24 25 45
2017-02-26	5	2nd	3 23 32 36 51
2017-01-22	22	3rd	11 20 23 32 40
2016-08-21	4	2nd	22 23 33 34 52
2016-07-24	6	2nd	20 23 39 48 53
2016-06-12	1	4th	3 4 13 23 27
2016-06-05	24	4th	3 8 22 23 40
2015-12-20	5	3rd	4 16 23 24 31
2015-11-15	18	4th	5 16 18 23 33
2015-07-12	9	3rd	3 13 23 31 39
2015-05-10	3	3rd	7 22 23 26 38
2015-04-19	12	2nd	8 23 27 38 53
2015-01-25	12	2nd	11 23 41 45 54
2014-11-02	17	3rd	12 17 23 30 47
2014-07-06	10	4th	3 7 17 23 48
2014-04-27	2	3rd	4 10 23 31 51
2014-04-13	2	2nd	19 23 33 37 53
2014-03-30	7	4th	11 15 18 23 40
2014-02-09	30	2nd	14 23 26 31 36
2013-07-14	9	3rd	7 16 23 37 49
2013-05-12	1	4th	5 12 14 23 41
2013-05-05	1	2nd	17 23 25 44 52
2013-04-28	26	2nd	18 23 27 38 51
2012-10-28	26	1st	23 34 42 43 45
2012-04-29	1	3rd	6 22 23 29 49
2012-04-22	1	1st	23 33 36 40 48
2012-04-15	3	3rd	4 6 23 41 52
2012-03-25	3	2nd	2 23 26 48 51
2012-03-04	1	3rd	12 22 23 33 44
2012-02-26	5	2nd	18 23 37 43 49
2012-01-22	5	2nd	11 23 24 32 46
2011-12-18	14	3rd	4 18 23 30 49
2011-09-11	6	2nd	11 23 27 28 45
2011-07-31	16	3rd	17 18 23 51 53
2011-04-10	6	2nd	10 23 29 39 52
2011-02-27	11	4th	11 12 21 23 28
2010-12-12	7	4th	12 18 20 23 49
2010-10-24	8	2nd	3 23 41 47 53
2010-08-29	2	2nd	20 23 28 45 51
2010-08-15	3	3rd	3 6 23 28 40
2010-07-25	7	1st	23 24 30 46 52
2010-06-06	21	1st	23 32 36 40 50
2010-01-10	—	4th	6 9 12 23 40