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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 January 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 30
  4. 38
  5. 41
  6. 5

Jackpot€9,166,547

The crowdHeld 59% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 107 of 868 under them

← 2012-01-08All recent draws2012-01-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 30 38 41 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

74oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap57th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread55th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

25times
1113times
307times
385times
41

Prize breakdown · 2012-01-15

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 878k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 4+114%€359.1K
  • 2+026%€650.7K
  • 0+137%€920.6K
  • 4 other tiers23%€561.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

512times

Every number was expected about that many times after 106 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (30, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 December 2011 — its closest relative in 106 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 January 2012): 2 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 2.9 by chance
no winners
  • 4+136≈ 79 by chance€9,974
  • 4+0268≈ 710 by chance€240
  • 3+11,898≈ 3.8k by chance€38.81
  • 3+012,902≈ 34k by chance€18.55
  • 2+132,234≈ 59k by chance€5.71
  • 2+0216,900≈ 534k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1613,724≈ 614k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 268 winners, 62% fewer than the 710 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+136€9,974
    4+0268€240
    3+11,898€38.81
    3+012,902€18.55
    2+132,234€5.71
    2+0216,900€3.00
    0+1613,724€1.50