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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 November 2020

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 7
  4. 16
  5. 21
  6. 2

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 558 of 869 under them

← 2020-11-08All recent draws2020-11-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 7 16 21 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 November 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum0th
  • odd66th
  • low99th
  • widest gap6th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

251times
361times
755times
1640times
21

Prize breakdown · 2020-11-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 435k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 5+010%€130.8K
  • 2+040%€508.8K
  • 0+128%€351.5K
  • 5 other tiers21%€265.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

52times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

254times

Every number was expected about that many times after 557 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 7, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 February 2015 — its closest relative in 557 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 November 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

49

The numbers add up to 49 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.1 by chance
€65,394
  • 4+117≈ 30 by chance€1,399
  • 4+0305≈ 271 by chance€90.96
  • 3+11,192≈ 1.4k by chance€26.60
  • 3+013,120≈ 13k by chance€7.85
  • 2+116,330≈ 23k by chance€4.85
  • 2+0169,615≈ 204k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1234,354≈ 234k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 16,330 winners, 28% fewer than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€65,394
    4+117€1,399
    4+0305€90.96
    3+11,192€26.60
    3+013,120€7.85
    2+116,330€4.85
    2+0169,615€3.00
    0+1234,354€1.50