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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 25 September 2022

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 18
  3. 24
  4. 28
  5. 34
  6. 2

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 30% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 655 of 869 under them

← 2022-09-18All recent draws2022-10-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 18 24 28 34 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd1th
  • low66th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

265times
1859times
2462times
2863times
34

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-25

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 411k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 4+114%€180.4K
  • 2+035%€438.4K
  • 0+128%€358.4K
  • 4 other tiers22%€282.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

82times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each

265times

Every number was expected about that many times after 654 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 24, 28) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 November 2020 — its closest relative in 654 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 September 2022): 34 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.1 by chance
no winners
  • 4+122≈ 31 by chance€8,200
  • 4+0165≈ 276 by chance€196
  • 3+1948≈ 1.5k by chance€39.03
  • 3+09,106≈ 13k by chance€13.21
  • 2+115,317≈ 23k by chance€6.04
  • 2+0146,135≈ 208k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1238,957≈ 239k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 948 winners, 36% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+122€8,200
    4+0165€196
    3+1948€39.03
    3+09,106€13.21
    2+115,317€6.04
    2+0146,135€3.00
    0+1238,957€1.50