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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 November 2018

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 18
  3. 45
  4. 49
  5. 51
  6. 8

Jackpot€5,400,000

The crowdHeld 46% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 462 of 869 under them

← 2018-10-28All recent draws2018-11-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 18 45 49 51 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

239times
1835times
4542times
4943times
51

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 382k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€174.8K
  • 2+028%€348.8K
  • 0+130%€368.9K
  • 5 other tiers28%€354.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

46times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

849times

Every number was expected about that many times after 461 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 45, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 March 2014 — its closest relative in 461 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

165

The numbers add up to 165 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€174,841
  • 4+18≈ 32 by chance€3,974
  • 4+0131≈ 284 by chance€283
  • 3+1733≈ 1.5k by chance€57.83
  • 3+06,748≈ 14k by chance€20.41
  • 2+112,316≈ 24k by chance€8.60
  • 2+0116,280≈ 214k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1245,907≈ 246k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 733 winners, 52% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€174,841
    4+18€3,974
    4+0131€283
    3+1733€57.83
    3+06,748€20.41
    2+112,316€8.60
    2+0116,280€3.00
    0+1245,907€1.50