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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 July 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 18
  3. 31
  4. 43
  5. 54
  6. 2

Jackpot€9,500,000

The crowdHeld 40% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 591 of 869 under them

← 2021-06-27All recent draws2021-07-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 18 31 43 54 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum62th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

256times
1849times
3158times
4350times
54

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 412k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 4+116%€222.6K
  • 2+030%€400.7K
  • 0+128%€383.4K
  • 4 other tiers26%€348.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

55times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 59 of each

260times

Every number was expected about that many times after 590 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 43, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 January 2020 — its closest relative in 590 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 June 2021): 18, 31 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

54 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.2 by chance
no winners
  • 4+122≈ 33 by chance€10,118
  • 4+0169≈ 296 by chance€236
  • 3+1887≈ 1.6k by chance€51.48
  • 3+07,879≈ 14k by chance€18.83
  • 2+113,893≈ 25k by chance€8.22
  • 2+0133,580≈ 222k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1255,610≈ 256k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 7,879 winners, 44% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+122€10,118
    4+0169€236
    3+1887€51.48
    3+07,879€18.83
    2+113,893€8.22
    2+0133,580€3.00
    0+1255,610€1.50