Number 3

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

89times drawn · chance expected 80 +1.03σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

9.7average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

47longest completed wait · 64% chance of one at least that long

3 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 89 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, +1.03σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 3, draw by draw

Drawn 89 times in 866 draws · average wait 9.7 draws · longest completed wait 47 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest69 · chance 76.0
2nd smallest20 · chance 12.7
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.4
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 20 27 8 23 45

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 3 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-04	31	2nd	2 3 20 41 47
2026-03-01	3	1st	3 13 25 45 52
2026-02-08	12	1st	3 16 25 41 42
2025-11-16	5	1st	3 5 41 45 50
2025-10-12	15	1st	3 22 36 39 50
2025-06-29	12	1st	3 7 9 27 53
2025-04-06	27	1st	3 8 14 44 50
2024-09-29	3	1st	3 15 17 21 35
2024-09-08	14	1st	3 6 10 38 51
2024-06-02	3	1st	3 18 26 28 34
2024-05-12	1	1st	3 15 24 49 52
2024-05-05	3	1st	3 6 19 20 45
2024-04-14	9	2nd	1 3 30 37 48
2024-02-11	6	2nd	2 3 8 21 36
2023-12-31	25	1st	3 10 19 28 35
2023-07-09	18	1st	3 22 27 30 50
2023-03-05	2	2nd	2 3 15 33 47
2023-02-19	1	1st	3 8 13 24 37
2023-02-12	9	1st	3 9 15 20 23
2022-12-11	9	1st	3 13 24 41 42
2022-10-09	3	1st	3 8 22 26 45
2022-09-18	8	1st	3 4 12 21 34
2022-07-24	41	2nd	1 3 40 44 49
2021-10-10	3	2nd	2 3 23 25 54

The other 65 appearances

2021-09-19	19	2nd	2 3 4 12 52
2021-05-09	14	1st	3 15 20 37 44
2021-01-31	11	1st	3 8 26 32 45
2020-11-15	6	2nd	2 3 7 16 21
2020-10-04	16	1st	3 6 13 23 37
2020-06-14	2	1st	3 21 31 32 54
2020-05-31	3	1st	3 11 17 36 54
2020-03-01	12	1st	3 8 10 20 26
2019-12-08	4	2nd	2 3 27 30 38
2019-11-10	5	1st	3 7 22 45 49
2019-10-06	1	1st	3 14 18 37 51
2019-09-29	3	1st	3 6 7 33 35
2019-09-08	4	2nd	2 3 23 27 49
2019-08-11	3	1st	3 7 18 40 53
2019-07-21	26	1st	3 17 21 37 43
2019-01-20	8	1st	3 7 24 36 42
2018-11-25	10	1st	3 17 24 38 52
2018-09-16	1	1st	3 8 18 28 49
2018-09-09	8	1st	3 26 30 35 42
2018-07-15	7	1st	3 21 40 42 49
2018-05-27	8	1st	3 19 20 28 30
2018-04-01	1	1st	3 27 30 38 53
2018-03-25	1	1st	3 8 9 20 37
2018-03-18	5	1st	3 4 5 13 20
2018-02-11	1	2nd	1 3 6 29 40
2018-02-04	1	1st	3 15 17 52 53
2018-01-28	2	1st	3 5 11 41 45
2018-01-14	5	1st	3 5 11 26 33
2017-12-10	2	2nd	1 3 8 11 49
2017-11-26	24	1st	3 24 39 50 54
2017-06-11	14	2nd	2 3 13 29 43
2017-03-05	1	1st	3 35 42 45 54
2017-02-26	6	1st	3 23 32 36 51
2017-01-15	31	1st	3 21 31 39 46
2016-06-12	1	1st	3 4 13 23 27
2016-06-05	9	1st	3 8 22 23 40
2016-04-03	8	2nd	2 3 15 26 52
2016-02-07	2	1st	3 14 40 49 51
2016-01-24	9	1st	3 10 19 27 31
2015-11-22	6	1st	3 21 38 39 48
2015-10-11	11	1st	3 13 14 19 30
2015-07-26	2	1st	3 28 33 39 45
2015-07-12	26	1st	3 13 23 31 39
2015-01-11	25	1st	3 12 19 20 52
2014-07-20	1	1st	3 5 8 14 45
2014-07-13	1	1st	3 20 26 27 32
2014-07-06	24	1st	3 7 17 23 48
2014-01-19	5	2nd	2 3 6 27 39
2013-12-15	13	1st	3 20 24 40 46
2013-09-15	17	1st	3 5 16 18 29
2013-05-19	10	1st	3 28 33 36 48
2013-03-10	21	1st	3 9 26 45 49
2012-10-14	8	1st	3 15 19 35 51
2012-08-19	5	1st	3 14 25 51 52
2012-07-15	2	2nd	1 3 22 27 34
2012-07-01	47	1st	3 21 24 27 53
2011-08-07	11	1st	3 4 25 34 41
2011-05-22	1	2nd	1 3 7 15 28
2011-05-15	24	2nd	2 3 25 32 46
2010-11-28	4	1st	3 15 27 50 53
2010-10-31	1	2nd	1 3 9 20 32
2010-10-24	6	1st	3 23 41 47 53
2010-09-12	4	2nd	2 3 31 41 49
2010-08-15	21	1st	3 6 23 28 40
2010-03-21	—	1st	3 16 32 41 47

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number