Number 46

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

68times drawn · chance expected 80 −1.43σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 68% for any number

12.7average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

70longest completed wait · 8% chance of one at least that long

46 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 68 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, −1.43σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 46, draw by draw

Drawn 68 times in 866 draws · average wait 12.7 draws · longest completed wait 70 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 46 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.6
3rd smallest9 · chance 6.4
4th smallest22 · chance 26.4
5th smallest37 · chance 34.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

33 28 39 11 14 38

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.3 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 46 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 46 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-06	6	4th	25 27 30 46 50
2026-07-26	2	5th	8 22 38 39 46
2026-07-12	18	4th	6 14 28 46 53
2026-03-08	2	3rd	14 26

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 46 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-08-29	1	5th	8 19 23 45 46
2021-08-22	26	4th	12 34 43 46 48
2021-02-21	7	5th	8 16 37 40 46
2021-01-03	18	5th	11 16 33 35 46
2020-08-30	7	5th	5 9 35 37 46
2020-07-12	2	5th	10 23 27 28 46
2020-06-28	17	5th	2 13 39 41 46
2019-12-22	35	3rd	14 28 46 50 52
2019-04-21	17	5th	16 22 38 40 46
2018-12-23	6	3rd	38 41 46 47 53
2018-11-11	19	4th	2 15 42 46 53
2018-07-01	23	5th	20 25 37 45 46
2018-01-21	20	5th	4 9 11 29 46
2017-09-03	1	4th	6 14 22 46 50
2017-08-27	7	5th	9 21 31 45 46
2017-07-09	25	5th	7 29 40 41 46
2017-01-15	4	5th	3 21 31 39 46
2016-12-18	5	4th	21 22 44 46 54
2016-11-13	4	3rd	14 42 46 48 53
2016-10-16	11	4th	2 25 33 46 51
2016-07-31	70	5th	6 10 13 20 46
2015-03-29	19	5th	11 14 17 39 46
2014-11-16	1	4th	22 40 42 46 48
2014-11-09	14	5th	2 4 10 33 46
2014-08-03	5	4th	1 32 35 46 49
2014-06-29	12	5th	5 8 12 22 46
2014-04-06	16	5th	11 30 37 43 46
2013-12-15	2	5th	3 20 24 40 46
2013-12-01	15	3rd	6 24 46 48 54
2013-08-18	2	5th	1 12 33 42 46
2013-08-04	27	5th	20 32 38 44 46
2013-01-27	12	5th	9 27 30 43 46
2012-11-04	41	5th	10 27 32 38 46
2012-01-22	15	5th	11 23 24 32 46
2011-10-09	6	4th	27 36 37 46 47
2011-08-28	15	5th	13 26 31 33 46
2011-05-15	14	5th	2 3 25 32 46
2011-02-06	4	5th	12 14 26 39 46
2011-01-09	2	5th	18 26 33 39 46
2010-12-26	11	4th	15 33 34 46 54
2010-10-10	11	5th	14 15 17 28 46
2010-07-25	9	4th	23 24 30 46 52
2010-05-23	8	5th	11 12 18 24 46
2010-03-28	—	5th	2 12 28 36 46