El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number · star deck
2
Star 2 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 869 draws, 1 from 0–9.
Main numbers Stars 95 times drawn · chance expected 87 +0.92σ
5 draws waiting · a wait this long: 66% for any number
9.2 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
43 longest completed wait · 68% chance of one at least that long
2 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 95 times in 869 draws against 86.9 expected, +0.92σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
2 Number 2, draw by draw Drawn 95 times in 869 draws · average wait 9.2 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 5 draws now
6 draws: 2010-01-17 to 2010-02-28 5 draws: 2010-02-28 to 2010-04-04 8 draws: 2010-04-04 to 2010-05-30 9 draws: 2010-05-30 to 2010-08-01 43 draws: 2010-08-01 to 2011-05-29 13 draws: 2011-05-29 to 2011-08-28 7 draws: 2011-08-28 to 2011-10-16 2 draws: 2011-10-16 to 2011-10-30 4 draws: 2011-10-30 to 2011-11-27 1 draws: 2011-11-27 to 2011-12-04 1 draws: 2011-12-04 to 2011-12-11 40 draws: 2011-12-11 to 2012-09-16 10 draws: 2012-09-16 to 2012-11-25 8 draws: 2012-11-25 to 2013-01-20 26 draws: 2013-01-20 to 2013-07-21 4 draws: 2013-07-21 to 2013-08-18 8 draws: 2013-08-18 to 2013-10-13 4 draws: 2013-10-13 to 2013-11-10 17 draws: 2013-11-10 to 2014-03-09 2 draws: 2014-03-09 to 2014-03-23 11 draws: 2014-03-23 to 2014-06-08 16 draws: 2014-06-08 to 2014-09-28 20 draws: 2014-09-28 to 2015-02-15 3 draws: 2015-02-15 to 2015-03-08 1 draws: 2015-03-08 to 2015-03-15 4 draws: 2015-03-15 to 2015-04-12 13 draws: 2015-04-12 to 2015-07-12 17 draws: 2015-07-12 to 2015-11-08 10 draws: 2015-11-08 to 2016-01-17 1 draws: 2016-01-17 to 2016-01-24 41 draws: 2016-01-24 to 2016-11-06 10 draws: 2016-11-06 to 2017-01-15 42 draws: 2017-01-15 to 2017-11-05 8 draws: 2017-11-05 to 2017-12-31 1 draws: 2017-12-31 to 2018-01-07 3 draws: 2018-01-07 to 2018-01-28 2 draws: 2018-01-28 to 2018-02-11 10 draws: 2018-02-11 to 2018-04-22 2 draws: 2018-04-22 to 2018-05-06 24 draws: 2018-05-06 to 2018-10-21 7 draws: 2018-10-21 to 2018-12-09 16 draws: 2018-12-09 to 2019-03-31 4 draws: 2019-03-31 to 2019-04-28 26 draws: 2019-04-28 to 2019-10-27 7 draws: 2019-10-27 to 2019-12-15 1 draws: 2019-12-15 to 2019-12-22 1 draws: 2019-12-22 to 2019-12-29 5 draws: 2019-12-29 to 2020-02-02 8 draws: 2020-02-02 to 2020-06-07 2 draws: 2020-06-07 to 2020-06-21 8 draws: 2020-06-21 to 2020-08-16 1 draws: 2020-08-16 to 2020-08-23 9 draws: 2020-08-23 to 2020-10-25 3 draws: 2020-10-25 to 2020-11-15 1 draws: 2020-11-15 to 2020-11-22 5 draws: 2020-11-22 to 2020-12-27 16 draws: 2020-12-27 to 2021-04-18 7 draws: 2021-04-18 to 2021-06-06 1 draws: 2021-06-06 to 2021-06-13 3 draws: 2021-06-13 to 2021-07-04 6 draws: 2021-07-04 to 2021-08-15 6 draws: 2021-08-15 to 2021-09-26 8 draws: 2021-09-26 to 2021-11-21 34 draws: 2021-11-21 to 2022-07-17 10 draws: 2022-07-17 to 2022-09-25 8 draws: 2022-09-25 to 2022-11-20 8 draws: 2022-11-20 to 2023-01-15 1 draws: 2023-01-15 to 2023-01-22 7 draws: 2023-01-22 to 2023-03-12 1 draws: 2023-03-12 to 2023-03-19 1 draws: 2023-03-19 to 2023-03-26 2 draws: 2023-03-26 to 2023-04-09 2 draws: 2023-04-09 to 2023-04-23 15 draws: 2023-04-23 to 2023-08-06 1 draws: 2023-08-06 to 2023-08-13 1 draws: 2023-08-13 to 2023-08-20 8 draws: 2023-08-20 to 2023-10-15 9 draws: 2023-10-15 to 2023-12-17 10 draws: 2023-12-17 to 2024-02-25 4 draws: 2024-02-25 to 2024-03-24 7 draws: 2024-03-24 to 2024-05-12 4 draws: 2024-05-12 to 2024-06-09 1 draws: 2024-06-09 to 2024-06-16 10 draws: 2024-06-16 to 2024-08-25 7 draws: 2024-08-25 to 2024-10-13 2 draws: 2024-10-13 to 2024-10-27 4 draws: 2024-10-27 to 2024-11-24 39 draws: 2024-11-24 to 2025-08-24 21 draws: 2025-08-24 to 2026-01-18 4 draws: 2026-01-18 to 2026-02-15 9 draws: 2026-02-15 to 2026-04-19 2 draws: 2026-04-19 to 2026-05-03 7 draws: 2026-05-03 to 2026-06-21 14 draws: 2026-06-21 to 2026-09-27 Still waiting — at least 5 draws since 2026-09-27 2010-01-17 2010-02-28 2010-04-04 2010-05-30 2010-08-01 2011-05-29 2011-08-28 2011-10-16 2011-10-30 2011-11-27 2011-12-04 2011-12-11 2012-09-16 2012-11-25 2013-01-20 2013-07-21 2013-08-18 2013-10-13 2013-11-10 2014-03-09 2014-03-23 2014-06-08 2014-09-28 2015-02-15 2015-03-08 2015-03-15 2015-04-12 2015-07-12 2015-11-08 2016-01-17 2016-01-24 2016-11-06 2017-01-15 2017-11-05 2017-12-31 2018-01-07 2018-01-28 2018-02-11 2018-04-22 2018-05-06 2018-10-21 2018-12-09 2019-03-31 2019-04-28 2019-10-27 2019-12-15 2019-12-22 2019-12-29 2020-02-02 2020-06-07 2020-06-21 2020-08-16 2020-08-23 2020-10-25 2020-11-15 2020-11-22 2020-12-27 2021-04-18 2021-06-06 2021-06-13 2021-07-04 2021-08-15 2021-09-26 2021-11-21 2022-07-17 2022-09-25 2022-11-20 2023-01-15 2023-01-22 2023-03-12 2023-03-19 2023-03-26 2023-04-09 2023-04-23 2023-08-06 2023-08-13 2023-08-20 2023-10-15 2023-12-17 2024-02-25 2024-03-24 2024-05-12 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 2024-08-25 2024-10-13 2024-10-27 2024-11-24 2025-08-24 2026-01-18 2026-02-15 2026-04-19 2026-05-03 2026-06-21 2026-09-27 2010-01-03 2026-11-01
1 draws: 16 times 2 draws: 9 times 3 draws: 4 times 4 draws: 9 times 5 draws: 3 times 6 draws: 3 times 7 draws: 8 times 8 draws: 10 times 9 draws: 4 times 10 draws: 7 times 11 draws: 1 time 12 draws: 0 times 13 draws: 2 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 0 times 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 2 times 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 1 time 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 1 time 40 draws: 1 time 41 draws: 1 time 42 draws: 1 time 43 draws: 1 time 44 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 95 · chance 95.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →
Every draw it appeared in ← star 1 Every number star 3 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.