El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number
48
Number 48 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.
Main numbers Stars 86 times drawn · chance expected 80 +0.68σ
7 draws waiting · a wait this long: 56% for any number
10.1 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8
44 longest completed wait · 73% chance of one at least that long
48 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 86 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, +0.68σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
48 Number 48, draw by draw Drawn 86 times in 866 draws · average wait 10.1 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 7 draws now
26 draws: 2010-01-03 to 2010-07-04 44 draws: 2010-07-04 to 2011-05-08 19 draws: 2011-05-08 to 2011-09-18 4 draws: 2011-09-18 to 2011-10-16 5 draws: 2011-10-16 to 2011-11-20 18 draws: 2011-11-20 to 2012-03-25 2 draws: 2012-03-25 to 2012-04-08 2 draws: 2012-04-08 to 2012-04-22 21 draws: 2012-04-22 to 2012-09-16 10 draws: 2012-09-16 to 2012-11-25 1 draws: 2012-11-25 to 2012-12-02 5 draws: 2012-12-02 to 2013-01-06 5 draws: 2013-01-06 to 2013-02-10 14 draws: 2013-02-10 to 2013-05-19 9 draws: 2013-05-19 to 2013-07-21 14 draws: 2013-07-21 to 2013-10-27 5 draws: 2013-10-27 to 2013-12-01 11 draws: 2013-12-01 to 2014-02-16 3 draws: 2014-02-16 to 2014-03-09 17 draws: 2014-03-09 to 2014-07-06 8 draws: 2014-07-06 to 2014-08-31 1 draws: 2014-08-31 to 2014-09-07 7 draws: 2014-09-07 to 2014-10-26 3 draws: 2014-10-26 to 2014-11-16 4 draws: 2014-11-16 to 2014-12-14 9 draws: 2014-12-14 to 2015-02-15 5 draws: 2015-02-15 to 2015-03-22 8 draws: 2015-03-22 to 2015-05-17 5 draws: 2015-05-17 to 2015-06-21 1 draws: 2015-06-21 to 2015-06-28 6 draws: 2015-06-28 to 2015-08-09 15 draws: 2015-08-09 to 2015-11-22 2 draws: 2015-11-22 to 2015-12-06 13 draws: 2015-12-06 to 2016-03-06 20 draws: 2016-03-06 to 2016-07-24 7 draws: 2016-07-24 to 2016-09-11 9 draws: 2016-09-11 to 2016-11-13 2 draws: 2016-11-13 to 2016-11-27 11 draws: 2016-11-27 to 2017-02-12 24 draws: 2017-02-12 to 2017-07-30 9 draws: 2017-07-30 to 2017-10-01 11 draws: 2017-10-01 to 2017-12-17 12 draws: 2017-12-17 to 2018-03-11 20 draws: 2018-03-11 to 2018-07-29 20 draws: 2018-07-29 to 2018-12-16 4 draws: 2018-12-16 to 2019-01-13 5 draws: 2019-01-13 to 2019-02-17 24 draws: 2019-02-17 to 2019-08-04 4 draws: 2019-08-04 to 2019-09-01 12 draws: 2019-09-01 to 2019-11-24 33 draws: 2019-11-24 to 2020-09-20 1 draws: 2020-09-20 to 2020-09-27 23 draws: 2020-09-27 to 2021-03-07 1 draws: 2021-03-07 to 2021-03-14 6 draws: 2021-03-14 to 2021-04-25 17 draws: 2021-04-25 to 2021-08-22 5 draws: 2021-08-22 to 2021-09-26 5 draws: 2021-09-26 to 2021-10-31 1 draws: 2021-10-31 to 2021-11-07 7 draws: 2021-11-07 to 2021-12-26 3 draws: 2021-12-26 to 2022-01-16 6 draws: 2022-01-16 to 2022-02-27 1 draws: 2022-02-27 to 2022-03-06 6 draws: 2022-03-06 to 2022-04-17 30 draws: 2022-04-17 to 2022-11-13 11 draws: 2022-11-13 to 2023-01-29 42 draws: 2023-01-29 to 2023-11-19 19 draws: 2023-11-19 to 2024-03-31 2 draws: 2024-03-31 to 2024-04-14 10 draws: 2024-04-14 to 2024-06-23 3 draws: 2024-06-23 to 2024-07-14 3 draws: 2024-07-14 to 2024-08-04 3 draws: 2024-08-04 to 2024-08-25 9 draws: 2024-08-25 to 2024-10-27 9 draws: 2024-10-27 to 2024-12-29 15 draws: 2024-12-29 to 2025-04-13 2 draws: 2025-04-13 to 2025-04-27 4 draws: 2025-04-27 to 2025-05-25 2 draws: 2025-05-25 to 2025-06-08 1 draws: 2025-06-08 to 2025-06-15 14 draws: 2025-06-15 to 2025-09-21 10 draws: 2025-09-21 to 2025-11-30 14 draws: 2025-11-30 to 2026-03-08 2 draws: 2026-03-08 to 2026-03-22 22 draws: 2026-03-22 to 2026-08-23 Still waiting — at least 7 draws since 2026-08-23 2010-01-03 2010-07-04 2011-05-08 2011-09-18 2011-10-16 2011-11-20 2012-03-25 2012-04-08 2012-04-22 2012-09-16 2012-11-25 2012-12-02 2013-01-06 2013-02-10 2013-05-19 2013-07-21 2013-10-27 2013-12-01 2014-02-16 2014-03-09 2014-07-06 2014-08-31 2014-09-07 2014-10-26 2014-11-16 2014-12-14 2015-02-15 2015-03-22 2015-05-17 2015-06-21 2015-06-28 2015-08-09 2015-11-22 2015-12-06 2016-03-06 2016-07-24 2016-09-11 2016-11-13 2016-11-27 2017-02-12 2017-07-30 2017-10-01 2017-12-17 2018-03-11 2018-07-29 2018-12-16 2019-01-13 2019-02-17 2019-08-04 2019-09-01 2019-11-24 2020-09-20 2020-09-27 2021-03-07 2021-03-14 2021-04-25 2021-08-22 2021-09-26 2021-10-31 2021-11-07 2021-12-26 2022-01-16 2022-02-27 2022-03-06 2022-04-17 2022-11-13 2023-01-29 2023-11-19 2024-03-31 2024-04-14 2024-06-23 2024-07-14 2024-08-04 2024-08-25 2024-10-27 2024-12-29 2025-04-13 2025-04-27 2025-05-25 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 2025-09-21 2025-11-30 2026-03-08 2026-03-22 2026-08-23 2010-01-03 2026-10-11 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 8 times 2 draws: 8 times 3 draws: 6 times 4 draws: 5 times 5 draws: 9 times 6 draws: 4 times 7 draws: 3 times 8 draws: 2 times 9 draws: 6 times 10 draws: 3 times 11 draws: 4 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 1 time 14 draws: 4 times 15 draws: 2 times 16 draws: 0 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 2 times 20 draws: 3 times 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 2 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 1 time 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 1 time 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 1 time 45 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 48 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 0 · chance 0.0 2nd smallest 0 · chance 0.3 3rd smallest 4 · chance 4.8 4th smallest 27 · chance 28.6 5th smallest 55 · chance 52.4 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 48 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 48 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 47 Every number number 49 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 48 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.