LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 19 November 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 12
  3. 15
  4. 21
  5. 48
  6. 4

Jackpot€6,900,000

The crowdHeld 34% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 715 of 869 under them

← 2023-11-12All recent draws2023-11-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 12 15 21 48 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd34th
  • low90th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread83th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

273times
1273times
1577times
2164times
48

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-19

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€8.1Mto 414k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+185%€6.9M
  • 2+05.2%€422.5K
  • 0+14.6%€369.6K
  • 5 other tiers5.1%€412.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

67times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each

464times

Every number was expected about that many times after 714 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (2, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 October 2023 — its closest relative in 714 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 November 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,918,987
  • 5+00≈ 1.2 by chanceno winners
  • 4+127≈ 32 by chance€5,960
  • 4+0218≈ 285 by chance€132
  • 3+11,048≈ 1.5k by chance€31.49
  • 3+09,713≈ 14k by chance€11.04
  • 2+115,785≈ 24k by chance€5.23
  • 2+0140,838≈ 214k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1246,430≈ 246k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 140,838 winners, 34% fewer than the 214k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€6,918,987
    5+00€0.00
    4+127€5,960
    4+0218€132
    3+11,048€31.49
    3+09,713€11.04
    2+115,785€5.23
    2+0140,838€3.00
    0+1246,430€1.50