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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 21 October 2018

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 8
  3. 12
  4. 24
  5. 31
  6. 2

Jackpot€6,200,000

The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 460 of 869 under them

← 2018-10-14All recent draws2018-10-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 8 12 24 31 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd10th
  • low90th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread21th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

238times
839times
1247times
2438times
31

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€7.5Mto 417k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 5+184%€6.3M
  • 2+06.4%€478.8K
  • 0+14.5%€340.7K
  • 6 other tiers5.5%€413.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

45times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

240times

Every number was expected about that many times after 459 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 8, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 March 2013 — its closest relative in 459 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

77

The numbers add up to 77 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,284,317
  • 5+02≈ 1.1 by chance€68,247
  • 4+150≈ 29 by chance€496
  • 4+0358≈ 263 by chance€80.88
  • 3+11,310≈ 1.4k by chance€25.26
  • 3+012,546≈ 13k by chance€8.57
  • 2+115,830≈ 22k by chance€5.23
  • 2+0159,594≈ 198k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1227,164≈ 227k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 15,830 winners, 28% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€6,284,317
    5+02€68,247
    4+150€496
    4+0358€80.88
    3+11,310€25.26
    3+012,546€8.57
    2+115,830€5.23
    2+0159,594€3.00
    0+1227,164€1.50