LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 17 October 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 17
  4. 38
  5. 49
  6. 4

Jackpot€8,100,000

The crowdHeld 42% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 606 of 869 under them

← 2021-10-10All recent draws2021-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 17 38 49 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread90th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

144times
259times
1749times
3851times
49

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 463k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€212.9K
  • 2+031%€439.8K
  • 0+131%€435.1K
  • 4 other tiers23%€332.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

57times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

451times

Every number was expected about that many times after 605 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 2, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 June 2017 — its closest relative in 605 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 October 2021): 2 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.4 by chance
no winners
  • 4+116≈ 37 by chance€13,304
  • 4+0183≈ 335 by chance€209
  • 3+1969≈ 1.8k by chance€45.06
  • 3+09,008≈ 16k by chance€15.75
  • 2+116,123≈ 28k by chance€6.77
  • 2+0146,596≈ 252k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1290,039≈ 290k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 969 winners, 46% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+116€13,304
    4+0183€209
    3+1969€45.06
    3+09,008€15.75
    2+116,123€6.77
    2+0146,596€3.00
    0+1290,039€1.50