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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 June 2025

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 21
  3. 45
  4. 48
  5. 50
  6. 0

Jackpot€5,100,000

The crowdHeld 25% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 797 of 869 under them

← 2025-06-08All recent draws2025-06-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 21 45 48 50 + 02 Nov 2026, 00:41 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 June 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd34th
  • low34th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread90th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each

284times
2174times
4575times
4880times
50

Prize breakdown · 2025-06-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 324k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€162.5K
  • 2+032%€363.1K
  • 0+124%€276.5K
  • 5 other tiers29%€329.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

73times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 80 of each

075times

Every number was expected about that many times after 796 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 21, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 November 2023 — its closest relative in 796 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 June 2025): 48, 50 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 0.87 by chance€162,507
  • 4+19≈ 24 by chance€3,283
  • 4+0134≈ 213 by chance€257
  • 3+1591≈ 1.1k by chance€66.66
  • 3+07,085≈ 10k by chance€18.07
  • 2+110,433≈ 18k by chance€9.44
  • 2+0121,020≈ 160k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1184,362≈ 184k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 591 winners, 48% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€162,507
    4+19€3,283
    4+0134€257
    3+1591€66.66
    3+07,085€18.07
    2+110,433€9.44
    2+0121,020€3.00
    0+1184,362€1.50