Number 4

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

71times drawn · chance expected 80 −1.08σ

20draws waiting · a wait this long: 16% for any number

11.8average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

74longest completed wait · 6% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 71 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, −1.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 20 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 71 times in 866 draws · average wait 11.8 draws · longest completed wait 74 · waiting 20 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest54 · chance 55.8
2nd smallest15 · chance 14.3
3rd smallest2 · chance 0.9
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 9 41 11 22 29

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-05-24	1	1st	4 17 38 41 52
2026-05-17	5	2nd	2 4 10 27 50
2026-04-12	29	1st	4 11 32 40 54
2025-09-21	1	1st	4 16

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-04-25	48	1st	4 8 9 33 48
2020-03-15	5	1st	4 7 12 22 42
2020-02-09	41	2nd	1 4 28 44 49
2019-04-28	9	2nd	2 4 5 24 43
2019-02-24	49	1st	4 15 31 37 49
2018-03-18	1	2nd	3 4 5 13 20
2018-03-11	2	1st	4 9 31 37 48
2018-02-25	5	1st	4 17 25 33 40
2018-01-21	24	1st	4 9 11 29 46
2017-08-06	15	1st	4 13 22 52 53
2017-04-23	2	1st	4 5 7 10 42
2017-04-09	23	2nd	2 4 22 34 40
2016-10-30	5	1st	4 5 9 53 54
2016-09-25	6	1st	4 8 11 19 32
2016-08-14	9	1st	4 7 8 16 36
2016-06-12	4	2nd	3 4 13 23 27
2016-05-15	2	1st	4 6 28 31 47
2016-05-01	18	2nd	1 4 7 14 22
2015-12-27	1	1st	4 26 29 41 53
2015-12-20	16	1st	4 16 23 24 31
2015-08-30	14	1st	4 9 11 27 36
2015-05-24	3	1st	4 11 28 45 49
2015-05-03	7	1st	4 15 18 29 30
2015-03-15	18	1st	4 7 18 27 45
2014-11-09	28	2nd	2 4 10 33 46
2014-04-27	9	1st	4 10 23 31 51
2014-02-23	17	1st	4 20 34 41 42
2013-10-27	9	1st	4 24 39 41 48
2013-08-25	19	1st	4 8 10 20 51
2013-04-14	20	1st	4 16 20 22 26
2012-11-25	22	2nd	2 4 22 29 48
2012-06-24	1	1st	4 11 15 21 35
2012-06-17	3	1st	4 17 28 35 45
2012-05-27	6	2nd	1 4 13 42 54
2012-04-15	5	1st	4 6 23 41 52
2012-03-11	11	1st	4 8 16 21 53
2011-12-25	1	1st	4 9 30 41 50
2011-12-18	3	1st	4 18 23 30 49
2011-11-27	2	1st	4 26 32 42 44
2011-11-13	14	1st	4 9 16 21 29
2011-08-07	16	2nd	3 4 25 34 41
2011-04-17	29	1st	4 13 18 24 54
2010-09-26	17	1st	4 5 11 15 50
2010-05-30	2	1st	4 10 13 32 36
2010-05-16	2	1st	4 11 22 29 31
2010-05-02	1	1st	4 8 22 36 51
2010-04-25	—	1st	4 14 17 32 45