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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 May 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 25
  4. 32
  5. 46
  6. 5

Jackpot€14,025,512

The crowdHeld 54% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 72 of 868 under them

← 2011-05-08All recent draws2011-05-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 25 32 46 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

23times
36times
255times
329times
46

Prize breakdown · 2011-05-15

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 963k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€295.1K
  • 2+029%€768.5K
  • 0+137%€969.9K
  • 5 other tiers23%€599.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.34 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

7times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

59times

Every number was expected about that many times after 71 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 October 2010 — its closest relative in 71 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 May 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 3.1 by chance€295,099
  • 4+156≈ 83 by chance€958
  • 4+0338≈ 748 by chance€185
  • 3+12,638≈ 4.0k by chance€27.12
  • 3+016,411≈ 36k by chance€14.17
  • 2+141,014≈ 62k by chance€4.36
  • 2+0256,157≈ 562k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1646,626≈ 647k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 338 winners, 55% fewer than the 748 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€295,099
    4+156€958
    4+0338€185
    3+12,638€27.12
    3+016,411€14.17
    2+141,014€4.36
    2+0256,157€3.00
    0+1646,626€1.50