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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 October 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 5
  4. 19
  5. 28
  6. 2

Jackpot€5,400,000

The crowdHeld 29% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 710 of 869 under them

← 2023-10-08All recent draws2023-10-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 5 19 28 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

150times
271times
557times
1960times
28

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 401k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€138.3K
  • 2+036%€428.8K
  • 0+129%€345.7K
  • 5 other tiers24%€280.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

65times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each

277times

Every number was expected about that many times after 709 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 2, 19) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 August 2023 — its closest relative in 709 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

55

The numbers add up to 55 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.1 by chance
€69,169
  • 4+132≈ 30 by chance€786
  • 4+0252≈ 267 by chance€116
  • 3+11,103≈ 1.4k by chance€30.40
  • 3+010,985≈ 13k by chance€9.92
  • 2+114,715≈ 22k by chance€5.70
  • 2+0142,936≈ 200k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1230,475≈ 230k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 14,715 winners, 34% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€69,169
    4+132€786
    4+0252€116
    3+11,103€30.40
    3+010,985€9.92
    2+114,715€5.70
    2+0142,936€3.00
    0+1230,475€1.50