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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 25 March 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 23
  3. 26
  4. 48
  5. 51
  6. 9

Jackpot€18,548,080

The crowdHeld 39% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 117 of 868 under them

← 2012-03-18All recent draws2012-04-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 23 26 48 51 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum64th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap72th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

26times
2315times
2610times
486times
51

Prize breakdown · 2012-03-25

  • Lines in play≈ 7.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.3Mto 711k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€310K
  • 2+030%€697.3K
  • 0+129%€659.3K
  • 5 other tiers27%€629.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

914times

Every number was expected about that many times after 116 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (23, 51) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 July 2011 — its closest relative in 116 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 March 2012): 26 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 2.1 by chance€309,963
  • 4+122≈ 56 by chance€2,562
  • 4+0299≈ 508 by chance€220
  • 3+11,368≈ 2.7k by chance€54.93
  • 3+013,795≈ 24k by chance€17.70
  • 2+123,224≈ 42k by chance€8.09
  • 2+0232,420≈ 382k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1439,510≈ 440k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,368 winners, 50% fewer than the 2.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€309,963
    4+122€2,562
    4+0299€220
    3+11,368€54.93
    3+013,795€17.70
    2+123,224€8.09
    2+0232,420€3.00
    0+1439,510€1.50