LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 13 October 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 29
  3. 33
  4. 53
  5. 54
  6. 2

Jackpot€4,800,000

The crowdHeld 45% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 762 of 869 under them

← 2024-10-06All recent draws2024-10-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 29 33 53 54 + 26 Sept 2026, 21:25 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd66th
  • low10th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

278times
2965times
3373times
5377times
54

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-13

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 348k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 5+014%€162.9K
  • 2+028%€320.5K
  • 0+129%€333.6K
  • 5 other tiers29%€330.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

72times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 76 of each

285times

Every number was expected about that many times after 761 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 33, 53) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 February 2021 — its closest relative in 761 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 October 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

171

The numbers add up to 171 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 53–54. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.0 by chance€162,850
  • 4+116≈ 29 by chance€1,851
  • 4+0149≈ 257 by chance€232
  • 3+1685≈ 1.4k by chance€57.63
  • 3+06,518≈ 12k by chance€19.68
  • 2+111,357≈ 21k by chance€8.69
  • 2+0106,843≈ 193k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1222,423≈ 222k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 685 winners, 50% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€162,850
    4+116€1,851
    4+0149€232
    3+1685€57.63
    3+06,518€19.68
    2+111,357€8.69
    2+0106,843€3.00
    0+1222,423€1.50