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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 19 September 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 4
  4. 12
  5. 52
  6. 9

Jackpot€6,300,000

The crowdHeld 36% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 602 of 869 under them

← 2021-09-12All recent draws2021-09-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 4 12 52 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

10oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 10 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 0% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd10th
  • low90th
  • widest gap100th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

257times
364times
450times
1265times
52

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-19

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 428k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€189.9K
  • 2+033%€432K
  • 0+130%€386.9K
  • 4 other tiers23%€297.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.14 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

49times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

967times

Every number was expected about that many times after 601 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 12, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 April 2018 — its closest relative in 601 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

73

The numbers add up to 73 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 3–4. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.2 by chance
no winners
  • 4+123≈ 33 by chance€8,258
  • 4+0158≈ 298 by chance€216
  • 3+11,016≈ 1.6k by chance€38.35
  • 3+09,784≈ 14k by chance€12.94
  • 2+115,470≈ 25k by chance€6.30
  • 2+0144,013≈ 224k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1257,902≈ 258k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 15,470 winners, 38% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+123€8,258
    4+0158€216
    3+11,016€38.35
    3+09,784€12.94
    2+115,470€6.30
    2+0144,013€3.00
    0+1257,902€1.50