Number 25

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

69times drawn · chance expected 80 −1.31σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 75% for any number

12.6average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

51longest completed wait · 41% chance of one at least that long

25 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 69 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, −1.31σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 25, draw by draw

Drawn 69 times in 866 draws · average wait 12.6 draws · longest completed wait 51 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 25 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest5 · chance 5.6
2nd smallest25 · chance 20.7
3rd smallest22 · chance 26.4
4th smallest15 · chance 13.8
5th smallest2 · chance 2.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 28 52 34 6 20

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.3 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 25 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 25 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-13	1	2nd	5 25 36 39 54
2026-09-06	4	1st	25 27 30 46 50
2026-08-09	23	2nd	22 25 28 31 32
2026-03-01	3	3rd	3 13

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 25 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-06-13	10	4th	4 14 21 25 51
2021-04-04	12	2nd	18 25 43 44 52
2021-01-10	13	5th	2 19 20 21 25
2020-10-11	16	4th	13 17 23 25 50
2020-06-21	2	4th	10 14 20 25 37
2020-06-07	12	3rd	2 10 25 34 54
2020-01-05	10	2nd	22 25 27 32 44
2019-10-27	1	1st	25 26 28 29 51
2019-10-20	36	2nd	20 25 32 41 53
2019-02-10	28	2nd	12 25 33 40 52
2018-07-29	4	2nd	22 25 34 43 48
2018-07-01	11	2nd	20 25 37 45 46
2018-04-15	7	3rd	2 12 25 42 52
2018-02-25	7	3rd	4 17 25 33 40
2018-01-07	34	2nd	5 25 29 37 52
2017-05-14	27	4th	13 23 24 25 45
2016-11-06	3	2nd	6 25 28 34 44
2016-10-16	10	2nd	2 25 33 46 51
2016-08-07	23	4th	8 9 12 25 33
2016-02-28	2	3rd	9 17 25 36 38
2016-02-14	19	4th	12 21 22 25 39
2015-10-04	3	3rd	9 18 25 39 42
2015-09-13	8	3rd	9 22 25 53 54
2015-07-19	4	3rd	10 15 25 28 40
2015-06-21	10	4th	10 11 21 25 48
2015-04-12	20	2nd	17 25 29 31 42
2014-11-23	27	3rd	13 17 25 36 50
2014-05-18	18	2nd	15 25 27 28 40
2014-01-12	1	2nd	20 25 33 41 42
2014-01-05	30	3rd	2 21 25 44 52
2013-06-09	5	2nd	16 25 37 38 43
2013-05-05	2	3rd	17 23 25 44 52
2013-04-21	29	1st	25 28 31 41 51
2012-09-30	2	2nd	1 25 26 34 47
2012-09-16	1	2nd	20 25 27 47 48
2012-09-09	3	1st	25 31 32 33 49
2012-08-19	11	3rd	3 14 25 51 52
2012-06-03	43	4th	2 6 20 25 28
2011-08-07	12	3rd	3 4 25 34 41
2011-05-15	9	3rd	2 3 25 32 46
2011-03-13	1	2nd	20 25 29 53 54
2011-03-06	30	2nd	1 25 35 39 50
2010-08-08	25	3rd	22 24 25 29 34
2010-02-14	2	2nd	8 25 29 41 49
2010-01-31	—	3rd	14 22 25 31 35