Number 53

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

86times drawn · chance expected 80 +0.68σ

13draws waiting · a wait this long: 31% for any number

10.0average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

42longest completed wait · 80% chance of one at least that long

53 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 86 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, +0.68σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 53, draw by draw

Drawn 86 times in 866 draws · average wait 10.0 draws · longest completed wait 42 · waiting 13 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 53 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest7 · chance 6.5
5th smallest79 · chance 79.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

41 48 38 42 2 9

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 53 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 53 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-07-12	9	5th	6 14 28 46 53
2026-05-10	11	5th	17 34 42 43 53
2026-02-22	12	5th	24 36 41 46 53
2025-11-30	4	4th	27 41

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 53 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-11-07	2	5th	1 18 39 48 53
2021-10-24	12	5th	2 13 38 51 53
2021-08-01	24	5th	12 14 23 52 53
2021-02-14	42	5th	2 20 33 37 53
2020-02-16	11	5th	12 29 34 51 53
2019-12-01	6	5th	9 21 30 41 53
2019-10-20	10	5th	20 25 32 41 53
2019-08-11	25	5th	3 7 18 40 53
2019-02-17	2	5th	2 18 40 48 53
2019-02-03	1	5th	33 34 49 50 53
2019-01-27	5	5th	11 20 35 51 53
2018-12-23	6	5th	38 41 46 47 53
2018-11-11	13	5th	2 15 42 46 53
2018-08-12	1	5th	19 34 43 44 53
2018-08-05	18	5th	5 12 16 23 53
2018-04-01	8	5th	3 27 30 38 53
2018-02-04	6	5th	3 15 17 52 53
2017-12-24	5	5th	6 7 34 42 53
2017-11-19	7	5th	9 11 12 36 53
2017-10-01	8	5th	19 34 43 48 53
2017-08-06	10	5th	4 13 22 52 53
2017-05-28	3	5th	1 11 13 50 53
2017-05-07	17	5th	2 21 37 51 53
2017-01-08	2	5th	12 38 41 43 53
2016-12-25	6	5th	9 18 19 45 53
2016-11-13	2	5th	14 42 46 48 53
2016-10-30	14	4th	4 5 9 53 54
2016-07-24	18	5th	20 23 39 48 53
2016-03-20	1	5th	12 13 16 37 53
2016-03-13	11	5th	10 12 22 24 53
2015-12-27	15	5th	4 26 29 41 53
2015-09-13	21	4th	9 22 25 53 54
2015-04-19	6	5th	8 23 27 38 53
2015-03-08	10	5th	17 24 31 38 53
2014-12-28	3	5th	5 6 15 34 53
2014-12-07	31	5th	10 22 38 41 53
2014-05-04	2	5th	1 2 21 37 53
2014-04-20	1	5th	1 9 17 29 53
2014-04-13	8	5th	19 23 33 37 53
2014-02-16	27	5th	11 41 42 48 53
2013-08-11	25	5th	6 29 47 52 53
2013-02-17	4	5th	9 27 28 32 53
2013-01-20	2	5th	5 16 32 39 53
2013-01-06	7	5th	10 38 47 48 53
2012-11-18	4	5th	10 22 39 49 53
2012-10-21	7	4th	21 34 43 53 54
2012-09-02	4	5th	29 31 36 40 53
2012-08-05	2	5th	16 22 26 47 53
2012-07-22	3	5th	12 35 40 45 53
2012-07-01	16	5th	3 21 24 27 53
2012-03-11	4	5th	4 8 16 21 53
2012-02-12	12	5th	9 19 27 30 53
2011-11-20	4	5th	33 36 44 48 53
2011-10-23	12	5th	6 11 13 15 53
2011-07-31	7	5th	17 18 23 51 53
2011-06-12	13	4th	9 40 47 53 54
2011-03-13	15	4th	20 25 29 53 54
2010-11-28	5	5th	3 15 27 50 53
2010-10-24	5	5th	3 23 41 47 53
2010-09-19	28	5th	34 35 41 42 53
2010-03-07	9	5th	38 41 47 49 53
2010-01-03	—	5th	21 24 48 51 53