Number 49

In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.

79times drawn · chance expected 80 −0.14σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

11.0average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8

50longest completed wait · 49% chance of one at least that long

49 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 79 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, −0.14σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 49, draw by draw

Drawn 79 times in 866 draws · average wait 11.0 draws · longest completed wait 50 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 49 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.1
3rd smallest5 · chance 3.0
4th smallest27 · chance 23.3
5th smallest47 · chance 52.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 8 37 45 51 52

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 49 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 49 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-11	23	4th	5 27 43 49 52
2026-05-03	8	4th	6 30 39 49 50
2026-03-08	29	5th	14 26 46 48 49
2025-08-17	13	5th	8 23

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 49 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-07-19	9	4th	24 30 43 49 50
2020-03-08	4	4th	38 40 44 49 51
2020-02-09	13	5th	1 4 28 44 49
2019-11-10	9	5th	3 7 22 45 49
2019-09-08	1	5th	2 3 23 27 49
2019-09-01	4	5th	8 17 29 48 49
2019-08-04	10	5th	37 39 43 48 49
2019-05-26	2	4th	9 30 32 49 50
2019-05-12	11	4th	2 10 11 49 54
2019-02-24	3	5th	4 15 31 37 49
2019-02-03	13	3rd	33 34 49 50 53
2018-11-04	6	4th	2 18 45 49 51
2018-09-23	1	5th	1 22 26 34 49
2018-09-16	8	5th	3 8 18 28 49
2018-07-22	1	4th	8 13 28 49 52
2018-07-15	3	5th	3 21 40 42 49
2018-06-24	28	5th	7 8 17 24 49
2017-12-10	4	5th	1 3 8 11 49
2017-11-12	41	5th	11 30 37 44 49
2017-01-29	16	4th	15 40 41 49 51
2016-10-09	5	4th	7 14 29 49 52
2016-09-04	19	5th	7 14 36 47 49
2016-04-24	9	5th	1 8 29 30 49
2016-02-21	2	4th	15 34 37 49 51
2016-02-07	37	4th	3 14 40 49 51
2015-05-24	12	5th	4 11 28 45 49
2015-03-01	3	5th	13 17 27 44 49
2015-02-08	10	4th	14 15 22 49 52
2014-11-30	15	4th	11 37 38 49 51
2014-08-17	2	5th	2 19 32 43 49
2014-08-03	8	5th	1 32 35 46 49
2014-06-08	12	4th	9 45 47 49 54
2014-03-16	14	5th	2 27 29 45 49
2013-12-08	9	5th	26 33 35 38 49
2013-10-06	12	4th	11 35 37 49 50
2013-07-14	2	5th	7 16 23 37 49
2013-06-30	16	3rd	16 32 49 51 52
2013-03-10	13	5th	3 9 26 45 49
2012-12-09	3	5th	10 35 37 41 49
2012-11-18	1	4th	10 22 39 49 53
2012-11-11	9	5th	10 28 39 44 49
2012-09-09	2	5th	25 31 32 33 49
2012-08-26	17	4th	27 29 34 49 50
2012-04-29	9	5th	6 22 23 29 49
2012-02-26	10	5th	18 23 37 43 49
2011-12-18	22	5th	4 18 23 30 49
2011-07-17	7	5th	32 35 39 45 49
2011-05-29	15	5th	16 22 38 44 49
2011-02-13	2	4th	8 20 32 49 52
2011-01-30	7	5th	2 15 18 35 49
2010-12-12	13	5th	12 18 20 23 49
2010-09-12	11	5th	2 3 31 41 49
2010-06-27	16	4th	11 27 45 49 52
2010-03-07	3	4th	38 41 47 49 53
2010-02-14	—	5th	8 25 29 41 49