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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 2 February 2025

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 18
  5. 53
  6. 3

Jackpot€11,500,000

The crowdHeld 45% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 778 of 869 under them

← 2025-01-26All recent draws2025-02-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 15 16 18 53 + 32 Nov 2026, 00:41 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 February 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

28oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 28 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd34th
  • low90th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread97th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each

279times
1581times
1661times
1870times
53

Prize breakdown · 2025-02-02

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 452k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€165.7K
  • 2+031%€412.8K
  • 0+132%€432.5K
  • 5 other tiers25%€336.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

79times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

384times

Every number was expected about that many times after 777 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 15, 53) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 April 2023 — its closest relative in 777 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 January 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
3≈ 1.4 by chance
€55,228
  • 4+125≈ 37 by chance€1,205
  • 4+0173≈ 333 by chance€203
  • 3+1936≈ 1.8k by chance€42.91
  • 3+08,607≈ 16k by chance€15.17
  • 2+116,150≈ 28k by chance€6.22
  • 2+0137,609≈ 251k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1288,350≈ 288k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 936 winners, 47% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+03€55,228
    4+125€1,205
    4+0173€203
    3+1936€42.91
    3+08,607€15.17
    2+116,150€6.22
    2+0137,609€3.00
    0+1288,350€1.50