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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 20 August 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 7
  4. 18
  5. 19
  6. 2

Jackpot€5,200,000

The crowdHeld 26% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 702 of 869 under them

← 2023-08-13All recent draws2023-08-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 7 18 19 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum0th
  • odd66th
  • low99th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each

149times
269times
763times
1864times
19

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-20

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 387k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 4+113%€146.1K
  • 2+037%€421.9K
  • 0+129%€330K
  • 4 other tiers20%€228.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

59times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

276times

Every number was expected about that many times after 701 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 18, 19) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 July 2021 — its closest relative in 701 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2023): 18 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

47

The numbers add up to 47 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2, 18–19. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 49 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.0 by chance
no winners
  • 4+121≈ 28 by chance€6,957
  • 4+0214≈ 254 by chance€123
  • 3+1987≈ 1.4k by chance€30.36
  • 3+010,159≈ 12k by chance€9.59
  • 2+114,787≈ 21k by chance€5.07
  • 2+0140,647≈ 191k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1219,998≈ 220k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 14,787 winners, 30% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+121€6,957
    4+0214€123
    3+1987€30.36
    3+010,159€9.59
    2+114,787€5.07
    2+0140,647€3.00
    0+1219,998€1.50