El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number
44
Number 44 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.
Main numbers Stars 70 times drawn · chance expected 80 −1.19σ
16 draws waiting · a wait this long: 23% for any number
11.7 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8
63 longest completed wait · 15% chance of one at least that long
44 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 70 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, −1.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 16 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
44 Number 44, draw by draw Drawn 70 times in 866 draws · average wait 11.7 draws · longest completed wait 63 · waiting 16 draws now
20 draws: 2010-11-07 to 2011-03-27 1 draws: 2011-03-27 to 2011-04-03 8 draws: 2011-04-03 to 2011-05-29 5 draws: 2011-05-29 to 2011-07-03 17 draws: 2011-07-03 to 2011-10-30 3 draws: 2011-10-30 to 2011-11-20 1 draws: 2011-11-20 to 2011-11-27 14 draws: 2011-11-27 to 2012-03-04 10 draws: 2012-03-04 to 2012-05-13 13 draws: 2012-05-13 to 2012-08-12 13 draws: 2012-08-12 to 2012-11-11 9 draws: 2012-11-11 to 2013-01-13 16 draws: 2013-01-13 to 2013-05-05 9 draws: 2013-05-05 to 2013-07-07 2 draws: 2013-07-07 to 2013-07-21 2 draws: 2013-07-21 to 2013-08-04 5 draws: 2013-08-04 to 2013-09-08 2 draws: 2013-09-08 to 2013-09-22 15 draws: 2013-09-22 to 2014-01-05 4 draws: 2014-01-05 to 2014-02-02 7 draws: 2014-02-02 to 2014-03-23 10 draws: 2014-03-23 to 2014-06-01 18 draws: 2014-06-01 to 2014-10-05 21 draws: 2014-10-05 to 2015-03-01 17 draws: 2015-03-01 to 2015-06-28 52 draws: 2015-06-28 to 2016-06-26 12 draws: 2016-06-26 to 2016-09-18 7 draws: 2016-09-18 to 2016-11-06 5 draws: 2016-11-06 to 2016-12-11 1 draws: 2016-12-11 to 2016-12-18 13 draws: 2016-12-18 to 2017-03-19 6 draws: 2017-03-19 to 2017-04-30 28 draws: 2017-04-30 to 2017-11-12 27 draws: 2017-11-12 to 2018-05-20 2 draws: 2018-05-20 to 2018-06-03 2 draws: 2018-06-03 to 2018-06-17 8 draws: 2018-06-17 to 2018-08-12 1 draws: 2018-08-12 to 2018-08-19 8 draws: 2018-08-19 to 2018-10-14 13 draws: 2018-10-14 to 2019-01-13 7 draws: 2019-01-13 to 2019-03-03 44 draws: 2019-03-03 to 2020-01-05 1 draws: 2020-01-05 to 2020-01-12 4 draws: 2020-01-12 to 2020-02-09 4 draws: 2020-02-09 to 2020-03-08 46 draws: 2020-03-08 to 2021-04-04 2 draws: 2021-04-04 to 2021-04-18 3 draws: 2021-04-18 to 2021-05-09 4 draws: 2021-05-09 to 2021-06-06 10 draws: 2021-06-06 to 2021-08-15 7 draws: 2021-08-15 to 2021-10-03 10 draws: 2021-10-03 to 2021-12-12 12 draws: 2021-12-12 to 2022-03-06 17 draws: 2022-03-06 to 2022-07-03 3 draws: 2022-07-03 to 2022-07-24 19 draws: 2022-07-24 to 2022-12-04 3 draws: 2022-12-04 to 2022-12-25 29 draws: 2022-12-25 to 2023-07-16 20 draws: 2023-07-16 to 2023-12-03 11 draws: 2023-12-03 to 2024-02-18 5 draws: 2024-02-18 to 2024-03-24 1 draws: 2024-03-24 to 2024-03-31 10 draws: 2024-03-31 to 2024-06-09 6 draws: 2024-06-09 to 2024-07-21 21 draws: 2024-07-21 to 2024-12-15 4 draws: 2024-12-15 to 2025-01-12 2 draws: 2025-01-12 to 2025-01-26 10 draws: 2025-01-26 to 2025-04-06 63 draws: 2025-04-06 to 2026-06-21 Still waiting — at least 16 draws since 2026-06-21 2010-11-07 2011-03-27 2011-04-03 2011-05-29 2011-07-03 2011-10-30 2011-11-20 2011-11-27 2012-03-04 2012-05-13 2012-08-12 2012-11-11 2013-01-13 2013-05-05 2013-07-07 2013-07-21 2013-08-04 2013-09-08 2013-09-22 2014-01-05 2014-02-02 2014-03-23 2014-06-01 2014-10-05 2015-03-01 2015-06-28 2016-06-26 2016-09-18 2016-11-06 2016-12-11 2016-12-18 2017-03-19 2017-04-30 2017-11-12 2018-05-20 2018-06-03 2018-06-17 2018-08-12 2018-08-19 2018-10-14 2019-01-13 2019-03-03 2020-01-05 2020-01-12 2020-02-09 2020-03-08 2021-04-04 2021-04-18 2021-05-09 2021-06-06 2021-08-15 2021-10-03 2021-12-12 2022-03-06 2022-07-03 2022-07-24 2022-12-04 2022-12-25 2023-07-16 2023-12-03 2024-02-18 2024-03-24 2024-03-31 2024-06-09 2024-07-21 2024-12-15 2025-01-12 2025-01-26 2025-04-06 2026-06-21 2010-01-03 2026-10-11 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 6 times 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 4 times 4 draws: 5 times 5 draws: 4 times 6 draws: 2 times 7 draws: 4 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 2 times 10 draws: 6 times 11 draws: 1 time 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 4 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 3 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 2 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 0 times 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 1 time 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 1 time 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 1 time 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 0 times 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 0 times 58 draws: 0 times 59 draws: 0 times 60 draws: 0 times 61 draws: 0 times 62 draws: 0 times 63 draws: 1 time 64 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 44 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 0 · chance 0.1 2nd smallest 1 · chance 1.2 3rd smallest 14 · chance 9.7 4th smallest 27 · chance 29.5 5th smallest 28 · chance 29.5 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.3 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 44 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 44 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 43 Every number number 45 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 44 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.