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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 16 March 2014

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 27
  3. 29
  4. 45
  5. 49
  6. 9

Jackpot€15,518,658

The crowdHeld 38% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 220 of 869 under them

← 2014-03-09All recent draws2014-03-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 27 29 45 49 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 March 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd90th
  • low34th
  • widest gap83th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

218times
2727times
2927times
4522times
49

Prize breakdown · 2014-03-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€17.8Mto 540k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • 5+191%€16.1M
  • 2+03.0%€531.6K
  • 0+12.8%€494.6K
  • 5 other tiers3.7%€652.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

931times

Every number was expected about that many times after 219 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (27, 29, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 August 2012 — its closest relative in 219 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 57% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 March 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€16,085,656
  • 5+00≈ 1.6 by chanceno winners
  • 4+127≈ 42 by chance€9,436
  • 4+0223≈ 381 by chance€205
  • 3+11,284≈ 2.0k by chance€40.64
  • 3+010,870≈ 18k by chance€15.61
  • 2+120,555≈ 32k by chance€6.35
  • 2+0177,185≈ 287k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1329,704≈ 330k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 10,870 winners, 41% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€16,085,656
    5+00€0.00
    4+127€9,436
    4+0223€205
    3+11,284€40.64
    3+010,870€15.61
    2+120,555€6.35
    2+0177,185€3.00
    0+1329,704€1.50