El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number
14
Number 14 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.
Main numbers Stars 72 times drawn · chance expected 80 −0.96σ
13 draws waiting · a wait this long: 31% for any number
12.0 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8
61 longest completed wait · 19% chance of one at least that long
14 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 72 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, −0.96σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
14 Number 14, draw by draw Drawn 72 times in 866 draws · average wait 12.0 draws · longest completed wait 61 · waiting 13 draws now
1 draws: 2010-01-24 to 2010-01-31 10 draws: 2010-01-31 to 2010-04-11 2 draws: 2010-04-11 to 2010-04-25 10 draws: 2010-04-25 to 2010-07-04 14 draws: 2010-07-04 to 2010-10-10 5 draws: 2010-10-10 to 2010-11-14 5 draws: 2010-11-14 to 2010-12-19 5 draws: 2010-12-19 to 2011-01-23 2 draws: 2011-01-23 to 2011-02-06 11 draws: 2011-02-06 to 2011-04-24 8 draws: 2011-04-24 to 2011-06-19 5 draws: 2011-06-19 to 2011-07-24 8 draws: 2011-07-24 to 2011-09-18 1 draws: 2011-09-18 to 2011-09-25 14 draws: 2011-09-25 to 2012-01-01 18 draws: 2012-01-01 to 2012-05-06 15 draws: 2012-05-06 to 2012-08-19 28 draws: 2012-08-19 to 2013-03-03 5 draws: 2013-03-03 to 2013-04-07 5 draws: 2013-04-07 to 2013-05-12 39 draws: 2013-05-12 to 2014-02-09 23 draws: 2014-02-09 to 2014-07-20 3 draws: 2014-07-20 to 2014-08-10 3 draws: 2014-08-10 to 2014-08-31 7 draws: 2014-08-31 to 2014-10-19 15 draws: 2014-10-19 to 2015-02-01 1 draws: 2015-02-01 to 2015-02-08 7 draws: 2015-02-08 to 2015-03-29 11 draws: 2015-03-29 to 2015-06-14 17 draws: 2015-06-14 to 2015-10-11 17 draws: 2015-10-11 to 2016-02-07 12 draws: 2016-02-07 to 2016-05-01 3 draws: 2016-05-01 to 2016-05-22 5 draws: 2016-05-22 to 2016-06-26 3 draws: 2016-06-26 to 2016-07-17 7 draws: 2016-07-17 to 2016-09-04 5 draws: 2016-09-04 to 2016-10-09 5 draws: 2016-10-09 to 2016-11-13 22 draws: 2016-11-13 to 2017-04-16 15 draws: 2017-04-16 to 2017-07-30 3 draws: 2017-07-30 to 2017-08-20 2 draws: 2017-08-20 to 2017-09-03 51 draws: 2017-09-03 to 2018-08-26 7 draws: 2018-08-26 to 2018-10-14 26 draws: 2018-10-14 to 2019-04-14 7 draws: 2019-04-14 to 2019-06-02 18 draws: 2019-06-02 to 2019-10-06 4 draws: 2019-10-06 to 2019-11-03 7 draws: 2019-11-03 to 2019-12-22 16 draws: 2019-12-22 to 2020-06-21 47 draws: 2020-06-21 to 2021-05-16 1 draws: 2021-05-16 to 2021-05-23 3 draws: 2021-05-23 to 2021-06-13 7 draws: 2021-06-13 to 2021-08-01 39 draws: 2021-08-01 to 2022-05-01 1 draws: 2022-05-01 to 2022-05-08 7 draws: 2022-05-08 to 2022-06-26 61 draws: 2022-06-26 to 2023-08-27 43 draws: 2023-08-27 to 2024-06-23 2 draws: 2024-06-23 to 2024-07-07 19 draws: 2024-07-07 to 2024-11-17 16 draws: 2024-11-17 to 2025-03-09 1 draws: 2025-03-09 to 2025-03-16 3 draws: 2025-03-16 to 2025-04-06 1 draws: 2025-04-06 to 2025-04-13 1 draws: 2025-04-13 to 2025-04-20 2 draws: 2025-04-20 to 2025-05-04 22 draws: 2025-05-04 to 2025-10-05 22 draws: 2025-10-05 to 2026-03-08 16 draws: 2026-03-08 to 2026-06-28 2 draws: 2026-06-28 to 2026-07-12 Still waiting — at least 13 draws since 2026-07-12 2010-01-24 2010-01-31 2010-04-11 2010-04-25 2010-07-04 2010-10-10 2010-11-14 2010-12-19 2011-01-23 2011-02-06 2011-04-24 2011-06-19 2011-07-24 2011-09-18 2011-09-25 2012-01-01 2012-05-06 2012-08-19 2013-03-03 2013-04-07 2013-05-12 2014-02-09 2014-07-20 2014-08-10 2014-08-31 2014-10-19 2015-02-01 2015-02-08 2015-03-29 2015-06-14 2015-10-11 2016-02-07 2016-05-01 2016-05-22 2016-06-26 2016-07-17 2016-09-04 2016-10-09 2016-11-13 2017-04-16 2017-07-30 2017-08-20 2017-09-03 2018-08-26 2018-10-14 2019-04-14 2019-06-02 2019-10-06 2019-11-03 2019-12-22 2020-06-21 2021-05-16 2021-05-23 2021-06-13 2021-08-01 2022-05-01 2022-05-08 2022-06-26 2023-08-27 2024-06-23 2024-07-07 2024-11-17 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 2025-04-06 2025-04-13 2025-04-20 2025-05-04 2025-10-05 2026-03-08 2026-06-28 2026-07-12 2010-01-03 2026-10-11 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 8 times 2 draws: 6 times 3 draws: 7 times 4 draws: 1 time 5 draws: 9 times 6 draws: 0 times 7 draws: 8 times 8 draws: 2 times 9 draws: 0 times 10 draws: 2 times 11 draws: 2 times 12 draws: 1 time 13 draws: 0 times 14 draws: 2 times 15 draws: 3 times 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 1 time 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 3 times 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 2 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 1 time 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 1 time 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 1 time 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 0 times 56 draws: 0 times 57 draws: 0 times 58 draws: 0 times 59 draws: 0 times 60 draws: 0 times 61 draws: 1 time 62 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 22 · chance 22.5 2nd smallest 36 · chance 31.6 3rd smallest 10 · chance 15.0 4th smallest 4 · chance 2.8 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.2 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 13 Every number number 15 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.