El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number
12
Number 12 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 866 draws, 5 from 1–54.
Main numbers Stars 83 times drawn · chance expected 80 +0.33σ
2 draws waiting · a wait this long: 91% for any number
10.5 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.8
47 longest completed wait · 61% chance of one at least that long
12 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 83 times in 866 draws against 80.2 expected, +0.33σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
12 Number 12, draw by draw Drawn 83 times in 866 draws · average wait 10.5 draws · longest completed wait 47 · waiting 2 draws now
7 draws: 2010-01-10 to 2010-02-28 4 draws: 2010-02-28 to 2010-03-28 8 draws: 2010-03-28 to 2010-05-23 7 draws: 2010-05-23 to 2010-07-11 22 draws: 2010-07-11 to 2010-12-12 1 draws: 2010-12-12 to 2010-12-19 7 draws: 2010-12-19 to 2011-02-06 3 draws: 2011-02-06 to 2011-02-27 24 draws: 2011-02-27 to 2011-08-14 3 draws: 2011-08-14 to 2011-09-04 2 draws: 2011-09-04 to 2011-09-18 1 draws: 2011-09-18 to 2011-09-25 23 draws: 2011-09-25 to 2012-03-04 10 draws: 2012-03-04 to 2012-05-13 4 draws: 2012-05-13 to 2012-06-10 6 draws: 2012-06-10 to 2012-07-22 11 draws: 2012-07-22 to 2012-10-07 11 draws: 2012-10-07 to 2012-12-23 14 draws: 2012-12-23 to 2013-03-31 6 draws: 2013-03-31 to 2013-05-12 10 draws: 2013-05-12 to 2013-07-21 4 draws: 2013-07-21 to 2013-08-18 2 draws: 2013-08-18 to 2013-09-01 43 draws: 2013-09-01 to 2014-06-29 18 draws: 2014-06-29 to 2014-11-02 10 draws: 2014-11-02 to 2015-01-11 12 draws: 2015-01-11 to 2015-04-05 45 draws: 2015-04-05 to 2016-02-14 3 draws: 2016-02-14 to 2016-03-06 1 draws: 2016-03-06 to 2016-03-13 1 draws: 2016-03-13 to 2016-03-20 9 draws: 2016-03-20 to 2016-05-22 1 draws: 2016-05-22 to 2016-05-29 10 draws: 2016-05-29 to 2016-08-07 8 draws: 2016-08-07 to 2016-10-02 14 draws: 2016-10-02 to 2017-01-08 24 draws: 2017-01-08 to 2017-06-25 4 draws: 2017-06-25 to 2017-07-23 1 draws: 2017-07-23 to 2017-07-30 6 draws: 2017-07-30 to 2017-09-10 2 draws: 2017-09-10 to 2017-09-24 8 draws: 2017-09-24 to 2017-11-19 6 draws: 2017-11-19 to 2017-12-31 15 draws: 2017-12-31 to 2018-04-15 4 draws: 2018-04-15 to 2018-05-13 12 draws: 2018-05-13 to 2018-08-05 11 draws: 2018-08-05 to 2018-10-21 7 draws: 2018-10-21 to 2018-12-09 4 draws: 2018-12-09 to 2019-01-06 5 draws: 2019-01-06 to 2019-02-10 7 draws: 2019-02-10 to 2019-03-31 5 draws: 2019-03-31 to 2019-05-05 10 draws: 2019-05-05 to 2019-07-14 2 draws: 2019-07-14 to 2019-07-28 14 draws: 2019-07-28 to 2019-11-03 2 draws: 2019-11-03 to 2019-11-17 10 draws: 2019-11-17 to 2020-01-26 3 draws: 2020-01-26 to 2020-02-16 4 draws: 2020-02-16 to 2020-03-15 28 draws: 2020-03-15 to 2020-12-06 32 draws: 2020-12-06 to 2021-07-18 2 draws: 2021-07-18 to 2021-08-01 2 draws: 2021-08-01 to 2021-08-15 1 draws: 2021-08-15 to 2021-08-22 4 draws: 2021-08-22 to 2021-09-19 15 draws: 2021-09-19 to 2022-01-02 20 draws: 2022-01-02 to 2022-05-22 17 draws: 2022-05-22 to 2022-09-18 9 draws: 2022-09-18 to 2022-11-20 10 draws: 2022-11-20 to 2023-01-29 26 draws: 2023-01-29 to 2023-07-30 7 draws: 2023-07-30 to 2023-09-17 9 draws: 2023-09-17 to 2023-11-19 4 draws: 2023-11-19 to 2023-12-17 47 draws: 2023-12-17 to 2024-11-10 6 draws: 2024-11-10 to 2024-12-22 21 draws: 2024-12-22 to 2025-05-18 34 draws: 2025-05-18 to 2026-01-11 22 draws: 2026-01-11 to 2026-06-14 5 draws: 2026-06-14 to 2026-07-19 6 draws: 2026-07-19 to 2026-08-30 4 draws: 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-27 Still waiting — at least 2 draws since 2026-09-27 2010-01-10 2010-02-28 2010-03-28 2010-05-23 2010-07-11 2010-12-12 2010-12-19 2011-02-06 2011-02-27 2011-08-14 2011-09-04 2011-09-18 2011-09-25 2012-03-04 2012-05-13 2012-06-10 2012-07-22 2012-10-07 2012-12-23 2013-03-31 2013-05-12 2013-07-21 2013-08-18 2013-09-01 2014-06-29 2014-11-02 2015-01-11 2015-04-05 2016-02-14 2016-03-06 2016-03-13 2016-03-20 2016-05-22 2016-05-29 2016-08-07 2016-10-02 2017-01-08 2017-06-25 2017-07-23 2017-07-30 2017-09-10 2017-09-24 2017-11-19 2017-12-31 2018-04-15 2018-05-13 2018-08-05 2018-10-21 2018-12-09 2019-01-06 2019-02-10 2019-03-31 2019-05-05 2019-07-14 2019-07-28 2019-11-03 2019-11-17 2020-01-26 2020-02-16 2020-03-15 2020-12-06 2021-07-18 2021-08-01 2021-08-15 2021-08-22 2021-09-19 2022-01-02 2022-05-22 2022-09-18 2022-11-20 2023-01-29 2023-07-30 2023-09-17 2023-11-19 2023-12-17 2024-11-10 2024-12-22 2025-05-18 2026-01-11 2026-06-14 2026-07-19 2026-08-30 2026-09-27 2010-01-03 2026-10-11 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 7 times 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 4 times 4 draws: 10 times 5 draws: 3 times 6 draws: 6 times 7 draws: 6 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 3 times 10 draws: 7 times 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 0 times 14 draws: 3 times 15 draws: 2 times 16 draws: 0 times 17 draws: 1 time 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 1 time 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 2 times 23 draws: 1 time 24 draws: 2 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 0 times 34 draws: 1 time 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 1 time 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 1 time 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 1 time 48 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 33 · chance 31.7 2nd smallest 34 · chance 35.8 3rd smallest 13 · chance 13.4 4th smallest 3 · chance 2.0 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.1 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 53 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 54. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 11 Every number number 13 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 5/54 tonight whatever it did last week.