LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 12 July 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 13
  3. 23
  4. 31
  5. 39
  6. 2

Jackpot€11,459,206

The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 289 of 868 under them

← 2015-07-05All recent draws2015-07-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 13 23 31 39 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd99th
  • low66th
  • widest gap9th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread44th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

322times
1318times
2333times
3128times
39

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-12

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 449k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€156.8K
  • 2+038%€516.1K
  • 0+127%€371.4K
  • 5 other tiers23%€318.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

26times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

227times

Every number was expected about that many times after 288 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 July 2014 — its closest relative in 288 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 July 2015): 13 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€156,806
  • 4+122≈ 32 by chance€1,296
  • 4+0289≈ 286 by chance€115
  • 3+11,076≈ 1.5k by chance€35.33
  • 3+013,056≈ 14k by chance€9.46
  • 2+115,178≈ 24k by chance€6.26
  • 2+0172,032≈ 215k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1247,626≈ 248k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 15,178 winners, 37% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€156,806
    4+122€1,296
    4+0289€115
    3+11,076€35.33
    3+013,056€9.46
    2+115,178€6.26
    2+0172,032€3.00
    0+1247,626€1.50