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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 29 September 2024

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 21
  5. 35
  6. 3

Jackpot€5,200,000

The crowdHeld 36% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 760 of 869 under them

← 2024-09-22All recent draws2024-10-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 15 17 21 35 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd99th
  • low90th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 70 of each

381times
1580times
1759times
2169times
35

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-29

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€6.5Mto 441k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 5+181%€5.3M
  • 2+06.8%€440K
  • 0+16.0%€392.9K
  • 6 other tiers6.0%€392.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

63times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 76 of each

382times

Every number was expected about that many times after 759 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 21, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 March 2022 — its closest relative in 759 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,288,298
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€129,392
  • 4+140≈ 34 by chance€588
  • 4+0273≈ 303 by chance€101
  • 3+11,493≈ 1.6k by chance€21.01
  • 3+010,808≈ 15k by chance€9.43
  • 2+119,361≈ 25k by chance€4.05
  • 2+0146,663≈ 228k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1261,954≈ 262k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 146,663 winners, 36% fewer than the 228k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€5,288,298
    5+01€129,392
    4+140€588
    4+0273€101
    3+11,493€21.01
    3+010,808€9.43
    2+119,361€4.05
    2+0146,663€3.00
    0+1261,954€1.50