LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 August 2010

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 23
  4. 28
  5. 40
  6. 1

Jackpot€27,626,515

The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 33 of 869 under them

← 2010-08-08All recent draws2010-08-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 6 23 28 40 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap45th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

31time
62times
233times
285times
40

Prize breakdown · 2010-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.7Mto 851k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€343.9K
  • 2+036%€989.4K
  • 0+126%€704K
  • 5 other tiers26%€698.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

5times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

12times

Every number was expected about that many times after 32 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 23, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 January 2010 — its closest relative in 32 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 11% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 August 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 2.2 by chance€343,915
  • 4+124≈ 60 by chance€2,605
  • 4+0488≈ 543 by chance€149
  • 3+11,729≈ 2.9k by chance€48.22
  • 3+021,205≈ 26k by chance€12.78
  • 2+128,163≈ 45k by chance€7.40
  • 2+0329,797≈ 408k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1469,322≈ 469k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,729 winners, 40% fewer than the 2.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€343,915
    4+124€2,605
    4+0488€149
    3+11,729€48.22
    3+021,205€12.78
    2+128,163€7.40
    2+0329,797€3.00
    0+1469,322€1.50