El Gordo de la Primitiva · every number · star deck
3
Star 3 In El Gordo de la Primitiva under the 5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010 rules — 870 draws, 1 from 0–9.
Main numbers Stars 96 times drawn · chance expected 87 +1.02σ
1 draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
8.8 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
31 longest completed wait · 98% chance of one at least that long
3 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 96 times in 870 draws against 87.0 expected, +1.02σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
3 Number 3, draw by draw Drawn 96 times in 870 draws · average wait 8.8 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 1 draws now
9 draws: 2010-08-08 to 2010-10-10 14 draws: 2010-10-10 to 2011-01-16 7 draws: 2011-01-16 to 2011-03-06 1 draws: 2011-03-06 to 2011-03-13 26 draws: 2011-03-13 to 2011-09-11 22 draws: 2011-09-11 to 2012-02-12 3 draws: 2012-02-12 to 2012-03-04 6 draws: 2012-03-04 to 2012-04-15 21 draws: 2012-04-15 to 2012-09-09 9 draws: 2012-09-09 to 2012-11-11 6 draws: 2012-11-11 to 2012-12-23 10 draws: 2012-12-23 to 2013-03-03 4 draws: 2013-03-03 to 2013-03-31 1 draws: 2013-03-31 to 2013-04-07 1 draws: 2013-04-07 to 2013-04-14 29 draws: 2013-04-14 to 2013-11-03 4 draws: 2013-11-03 to 2013-12-01 3 draws: 2013-12-01 to 2013-12-22 14 draws: 2013-12-22 to 2014-03-30 4 draws: 2014-03-30 to 2014-04-27 5 draws: 2014-04-27 to 2014-06-01 4 draws: 2014-06-01 to 2014-06-29 1 draws: 2014-06-29 to 2014-07-06 5 draws: 2014-07-06 to 2014-08-10 5 draws: 2014-08-10 to 2014-09-14 17 draws: 2014-09-14 to 2015-01-11 11 draws: 2015-01-11 to 2015-03-29 4 draws: 2015-03-29 to 2015-04-26 9 draws: 2015-04-26 to 2015-06-28 11 draws: 2015-06-28 to 2015-09-13 30 draws: 2015-09-13 to 2016-04-10 8 draws: 2016-04-10 to 2016-06-05 7 draws: 2016-06-05 to 2016-07-24 3 draws: 2016-07-24 to 2016-08-14 1 draws: 2016-08-14 to 2016-08-21 2 draws: 2016-08-21 to 2016-09-04 8 draws: 2016-09-04 to 2016-10-30 7 draws: 2016-10-30 to 2016-12-18 7 draws: 2016-12-18 to 2017-02-05 7 draws: 2017-02-05 to 2017-03-26 2 draws: 2017-03-26 to 2017-04-09 14 draws: 2017-04-09 to 2017-07-16 14 draws: 2017-07-16 to 2017-10-22 31 draws: 2017-10-22 to 2018-05-27 22 draws: 2018-05-27 to 2018-10-28 2 draws: 2018-10-28 to 2018-11-11 7 draws: 2018-11-11 to 2018-12-30 3 draws: 2018-12-30 to 2019-01-20 1 draws: 2019-01-20 to 2019-01-27 11 draws: 2019-01-27 to 2019-04-14 4 draws: 2019-04-14 to 2019-05-12 18 draws: 2019-05-12 to 2019-09-15 1 draws: 2019-09-15 to 2019-09-22 1 draws: 2019-09-22 to 2019-09-29 5 draws: 2019-09-29 to 2019-11-03 16 draws: 2019-11-03 to 2020-02-23 3 draws: 2020-02-23 to 2020-03-15 14 draws: 2020-03-15 to 2020-08-30 15 draws: 2020-08-30 to 2020-12-13 8 draws: 2020-12-13 to 2021-02-07 1 draws: 2021-02-07 to 2021-02-14 22 draws: 2021-02-14 to 2021-07-18 17 draws: 2021-07-18 to 2021-11-14 8 draws: 2021-11-14 to 2022-01-09 6 draws: 2022-01-09 to 2022-02-20 2 draws: 2022-02-20 to 2022-03-06 5 draws: 2022-03-06 to 2022-04-10 12 draws: 2022-04-10 to 2022-07-03 1 draws: 2022-07-03 to 2022-07-10 6 draws: 2022-07-10 to 2022-08-21 2 draws: 2022-08-21 to 2022-09-04 14 draws: 2022-09-04 to 2022-12-11 18 draws: 2022-12-11 to 2023-04-16 7 draws: 2023-04-16 to 2023-06-04 5 draws: 2023-06-04 to 2023-07-09 7 draws: 2023-07-09 to 2023-08-27 10 draws: 2023-08-27 to 2023-11-05 8 draws: 2023-11-05 to 2023-12-31 25 draws: 2023-12-31 to 2024-06-23 5 draws: 2024-06-23 to 2024-07-28 6 draws: 2024-07-28 to 2024-09-08 3 draws: 2024-09-08 to 2024-09-29 5 draws: 2024-09-29 to 2024-11-03 13 draws: 2024-11-03 to 2025-02-02 1 draws: 2025-02-02 to 2025-02-09 3 draws: 2025-02-09 to 2025-03-02 4 draws: 2025-03-02 to 2025-03-30 5 draws: 2025-03-30 to 2025-05-04 30 draws: 2025-05-04 to 2025-11-30 1 draws: 2025-11-30 to 2025-12-07 8 draws: 2025-12-07 to 2026-02-01 9 draws: 2026-02-01 to 2026-04-05 22 draws: 2026-04-05 to 2026-09-06 1 draws: 2026-09-06 to 2026-09-13 7 draws: 2026-09-13 to 2026-11-01 Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2026-11-01 2010-08-08 2010-10-10 2011-01-16 2011-03-06 2011-03-13 2011-09-11 2012-02-12 2012-03-04 2012-04-15 2012-09-09 2012-11-11 2012-12-23 2013-03-03 2013-03-31 2013-04-07 2013-04-14 2013-11-03 2013-12-01 2013-12-22 2014-03-30 2014-04-27 2014-06-01 2014-06-29 2014-07-06 2014-08-10 2014-09-14 2015-01-11 2015-03-29 2015-04-26 2015-06-28 2015-09-13 2016-04-10 2016-06-05 2016-07-24 2016-08-14 2016-08-21 2016-09-04 2016-10-30 2016-12-18 2017-02-05 2017-03-26 2017-04-09 2017-07-16 2017-10-22 2018-05-27 2018-10-28 2018-11-11 2018-12-30 2019-01-20 2019-01-27 2019-04-14 2019-05-12 2019-09-15 2019-09-22 2019-09-29 2019-11-03 2020-02-23 2020-03-15 2020-08-30 2020-12-13 2021-02-07 2021-02-14 2021-07-18 2021-11-14 2022-01-09 2022-02-20 2022-03-06 2022-04-10 2022-07-03 2022-07-10 2022-08-21 2022-09-04 2022-12-11 2023-04-16 2023-06-04 2023-07-09 2023-08-27 2023-11-05 2023-12-31 2024-06-23 2024-07-28 2024-09-08 2024-09-29 2024-11-03 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 2025-03-02 2025-03-30 2025-05-04 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 2026-02-01 2026-04-05 2026-09-06 2026-09-13 2026-11-01 2010-01-03 2026-11-08 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 13 times 2 draws: 5 times 3 draws: 7 times 4 draws: 7 times 5 draws: 9 times 6 draws: 5 times 7 draws: 9 times 8 draws: 6 times 9 draws: 4 times 10 draws: 2 times 11 draws: 3 times 12 draws: 1 time 13 draws: 1 time 14 draws: 6 times 15 draws: 1 time 16 draws: 1 time 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 2 times 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 1 time 22 draws: 4 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 0 times 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 2 times 31 draws: 1 time 32 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 96 · chance 96.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 3 →
Every draw it appeared in The other 72 appearances ← star 2 Every number star 4 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.