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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 31 October 2010

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 9
  4. 20
  5. 32
  6. 7

Jackpot€10,212,025

The crowdHeld 51% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 44 of 869 under them

← 2010-10-24All recent draws2010-11-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 9 20 32 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 October 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread27th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

11time
34times
93times
202times
32

Prize breakdown · 2010-10-31

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€14.5Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • 5+180%€11.6M
  • 2+06.1%€879.9K
  • 0+17.2%€1M
  • 6 other tiers6.8%€991.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.36 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

6times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

74times

Every number was expected about that many times after 43 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 March 2010 — its closest relative in 43 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 October 2010): 3 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

65

The numbers add up to 65 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€11,595,534
  • 5+02≈ 3.3 by chance€163,658
  • 4+191≈ 89 by chance€654
  • 4+0404≈ 801 by chance€172
  • 3+13,032≈ 4.3k by chance€26.17
  • 3+020,158≈ 38k by chance€12.79
  • 2+143,621≈ 67k by chance€4.55
  • 2+0293,314≈ 602k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1692,458≈ 692k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 293,314 winners, 51% fewer than the 602k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€11,595,534
    5+02€163,658
    4+191€654
    4+0404€172
    3+13,032€26.17
    3+020,158€12.79
    2+143,621€4.55
    2+0293,314€3.00
    0+1692,458€1.50