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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 4 February 2018

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 52
  5. 53
  6. 4

Jackpot€8,200,000

The crowdHeld 43% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 423 of 868 under them

← 2018-01-28All recent draws2018-02-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 15 17 52 53 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 February 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd90th
  • low66th
  • widest gap98th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 39 of each

339times
1545times
1737times
5233times
53

Prize breakdown · 2018-02-04

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 464k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€214.5K
  • 2+031%€437.1K
  • 0+131%€439.7K
  • 4 other tiers24%€335.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

45times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each

432times

Every number was expected about that many times after 422 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 15, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 April 2016 — its closest relative in 422 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 January 2018): 3 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 52–53. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.4 by chance
no winners
  • 4+118≈ 38 by chance€11,914
  • 4+0146≈ 339 by chance€264
  • 3+1879≈ 1.8k by chance€50.05
  • 3+08,530≈ 16k by chance€16.76
  • 2+115,980≈ 28k by chance€6.88
  • 2+0145,713≈ 255k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1293,120≈ 293k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 879 winners, 51% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+118€11,914
    4+0146€264
    3+1879€50.05
    3+08,530€16.76
    2+115,980€6.88
    2+0145,713€3.00
    0+1293,120€1.50