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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 January 2017

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 21
  3. 31
  4. 39
  5. 46
  6. 2

The crowdHeld 32% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 368 of 868 under them

← 2017-01-08All recent draws2017-01-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 21 31 39 46 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd90th
  • low34th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

331times
2137times
3137times
3938times
46

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 399k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 5+013%€175.2K
  • 2+032%€420.2K
  • 0+127%€353.8K
  • 5 other tiers27%€355.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each

232times

Every number was expected about that many times after 367 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 21, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 November 2015 — its closest relative in 367 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 January 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.1 by chance€175,197
  • 4+116≈ 30 by chance€1,991
  • 4+0219≈ 273 by chance€170
  • 3+1733≈ 1.5k by chance€57.94
  • 3+08,597≈ 13k by chance€16.06
  • 2+113,030≈ 23k by chance€8.15
  • 2+0140,076≈ 205k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1235,896≈ 236k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 733 winners, 50% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€175,197
    4+116€1,991
    4+0219€170
    3+1733€57.94
    3+08,597€16.06
    2+113,030€8.15
    2+0140,076€3.00
    0+1235,896€1.50