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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 22 November 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 21
  3. 38
  4. 39
  5. 48
  6. 7

Jackpot€12,462,039

The crowdHeld 59% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 308 of 869 under them

← 2015-11-15All recent draws2015-11-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 21 38 39 48 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread79th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

325times
2132times
3832times
3929times
48

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-22

  • Lines in play≈ 6.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.6Mto 564k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€197.9K
  • 2+026%€417.9K
  • 0+137%€591.1K
  • 5 other tiers25%€401.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.21 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

735times

Every number was expected about that many times after 307 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (21, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 August 2015 — its closest relative in 307 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 November 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.9 by chance
€98,937
  • 4+127≈ 51 by chance€1,332
  • 4+0185≈ 456 by chance€227
  • 3+11,239≈ 2.4k by chance€38.72
  • 3+08,491≈ 22k by chance€18.36
  • 2+121,054≈ 38k by chance€5.70
  • 2+0139,314≈ 343k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1394,072≈ 394k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,491 winners, 61% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€98,937
    4+127€1,332
    4+0185€227
    3+11,239€38.72
    3+08,491€18.36
    2+121,054€5.70
    2+0139,314€3.00
    0+1394,072€1.50