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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 21 March 2010

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 16
  3. 32
  4. 41
  5. 47
  6. 5

Jackpot€6,117,689

The crowdHeld 58% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 12 of 869 under them

← 2010-03-14All recent draws2010-03-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 16 32 41 47 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 March 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum52th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

30times
160times
320times
413times
47

Prize breakdown · 2010-03-21

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€9.7Mto 876k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 5+175%€7.3M
  • 2+06.8%€665.4K
  • 0+19.3%€905.5K
  • 6 other tiers9.2%€893.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

2times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

52times

Every number was expected about that many times after 11 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (41, 47) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 March 2010 — its closest relative in 11 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 March 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 2 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,269,968
  • 5+01≈ 2.8 by chance€294,873
  • 4+138≈ 78 by chance€1,411
  • 4+0275≈ 698 by chance€227
  • 3+12,087≈ 3.7k by chance€34.25
  • 3+014,473≈ 34k by chance€16.05
  • 2+133,508≈ 58k by chance€5.33
  • 2+0221,803≈ 525k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1603,672≈ 604k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 275 winners, 61% fewer than the 698 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€7,269,968
    5+01€294,873
    4+138€1,411
    4+0275€227
    3+12,087€34.25
    3+014,473€16.05
    2+133,508€5.33
    2+0221,803€3.00
    0+1603,672€1.50