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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 31 January 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 26
  4. 32
  5. 45
  6. 8

Jackpot€13,100,000

The crowdHeld 35% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 569 of 869 under them

← 2021-01-24All recent draws2021-02-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 26 32 45 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

362times
850times
2650times
3254times
45

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-31

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 452k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€168.4K
  • 2+033%€457.7K
  • 0+130%€406.6K
  • 5 other tiers25%€341.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.14 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

54times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

858times

Every number was expected about that many times after 568 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 8, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 March 2020 — its closest relative in 568 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 January 2021): 8 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
2≈ 1.3 by chance
€84,204
  • 4+121≈ 35 by chance€1,458
  • 4+0231≈ 313 by chance€155
  • 3+11,140≈ 1.7k by chance€35.81
  • 3+09,961≈ 15k by chance€13.32
  • 2+117,127≈ 26k by chance€5.96
  • 2+0152,554≈ 236k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1271,071≈ 271k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 152,554 winners, 35% fewer than the 236k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€84,204
    4+121€1,458
    4+0231€155
    3+11,140€35.81
    3+09,961€13.32
    2+117,127€5.96
    2+0152,554€3.00
    0+1271,071€1.50