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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 26 July 2015

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 28
  3. 33
  4. 39
  5. 45
  6. 9

The crowdHeld 37% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 291 of 868 under them

← 2015-07-19All recent draws2015-08-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 28 33 39 45 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum62th
  • odd90th
  • low10th
  • widest gap83th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each

323times
2829times
3329times
3927times
45

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-26

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 411k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 4+115%€194.6K
  • 2+032%€411.8K
  • 0+129%€375.2K
  • 4 other tiers24%€304.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

30times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

935times

Every number was expected about that many times after 290 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 28, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 May 2013 — its closest relative in 290 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 July 2015): 28 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
0≈ 1.2 by chance
no winners
  • 4+111≈ 32 by chance€17,690
  • 4+0150≈ 289 by chance€233
  • 3+1942≈ 1.5k by chance€42.37
  • 3+08,687≈ 14k by chance€14.93
  • 2+114,296≈ 24k by chance€6.98
  • 2+0137,257≈ 217k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1250,123≈ 250k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 14,296 winners, 41% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+111€17,690
    4+0150€233
    3+1942€42.37
    3+08,687€14.93
    2+114,296€6.98
    2+0137,257€3.00
    0+1250,123€1.50