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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 1 March 2020

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 20
  5. 26
  6. 5

Jackpot€16,000,000

The crowdHeld 47% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 531 of 869 under them

← 2020-02-23All recent draws2020-03-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 10 20 26 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 March 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd10th
  • low99th
  • widest gap9th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each

357times
846times
1047times
2049times
26

Prize breakdown · 2020-03-01

  • Lines in play≈ 6.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.6Mto 591k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€172.6K
  • 2+032%€522.5K
  • 0+135%€563.8K
  • 5 other tiers22%€350.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.20 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

47times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

553times

Every number was expected about that many times after 530 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 20, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 May 2019 — its closest relative in 530 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 February 2020): 20 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

67

The numbers add up to 67 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 4.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
3≈ 1.8 by chance
€57,522
  • 4+151≈ 48 by chance€615
  • 4+0388≈ 435 by chance€94.34
  • 3+11,862≈ 2.3k by chance€22.47
  • 3+012,903≈ 21k by chance€10.54
  • 2+125,785≈ 36k by chance€4.06
  • 2+0174,179≈ 327k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1375,867≈ 376k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 174,179 winners, 47% fewer than the 327k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+03€57,522
    4+151€615
    4+0388€94.34
    3+11,862€22.47
    3+012,903€10.54
    2+125,785€4.06
    2+0174,179€3.00
    0+1375,867€1.50