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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 15 July 2018

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 21
  3. 40
  4. 42
  5. 49
  6. 5

Jackpot€10,200,000

The crowdHeld 56% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 446 of 868 under them

← 2018-07-08All recent draws2018-07-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 21 40 42 49 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd66th
  • low34th
  • widest gap57th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread83th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

345times
2145times
4040times
4238times
49

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.5Mto 540k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€187.5K
  • 2+027%€423.2K
  • 0+136%€552.8K
  • 5 other tiers25%€380.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

39times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

544times

Every number was expected about that many times after 445 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 40, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 April 2018 — its closest relative in 445 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 July 2018): 40 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.7 by chance€187,469
  • 4+120≈ 47 by chance€1,704
  • 4+0164≈ 426 by chance€242
  • 3+11,157≈ 2.3k by chance€39.28
  • 3+08,612≈ 20k by chance€17.15
  • 2+120,047≈ 36k by chance€5.67
  • 2+0141,065≈ 320k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1368,519≈ 369k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+0 — 8,612 winners, 58% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€187,469
    4+120€1,704
    4+0164€242
    3+11,157€39.28
    3+08,612€17.15
    2+120,047€5.67
    2+0141,065€3.00
    0+1368,519€1.50