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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 9 October 2022

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 22
  4. 26
  5. 45
  6. 5

Jackpot€8,900,000

The crowdHeld 46% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 657 of 869 under them

← 2022-10-02All recent draws2022-10-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 22 26 45 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd34th
  • low90th
  • widest gap57th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

368times
857times
2268times
2655times
45

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-09

  • Lines in play≈ 5.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.4Mto 503k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€153K
  • 2+032%€447.7K
  • 0+135%€480.1K
  • 5 other tiers22%€310.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

60times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

566times

Every number was expected about that many times after 656 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 8, 26, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 January 2021 — its closest relative in 656 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.0% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 40 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.5 by chance€152,952
  • 4+130≈ 41 by chance€927
  • 4+0222≈ 370 by chance€146
  • 3+11,545≈ 2.0k by chance€24.00
  • 3+010,267≈ 18k by chance€11.74
  • 2+121,393≈ 31k by chance€4.33
  • 2+0149,235≈ 278k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1320,051≈ 320k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 149,235 winners, 46% fewer than the 278k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€152,952
    4+130€927
    4+0222€146
    3+11,545€24.00
    3+010,267€11.74
    2+121,393€4.33
    2+0149,235€3.00
    0+1320,051€1.50