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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 31 December 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 10
  3. 19
  4. 28
  5. 35
  6. 3

Jackpot€5,900,000

The crowdHeld 40% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 721 of 869 under them

← 2023-12-24All recent draws2024-01-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 10 19 28 35 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap6th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

374times
1064times
1966times
2866times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-31

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 467k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€154.2K
  • 2+033%€446.6K
  • 0+132%€430.5K
  • 5 other tiers23%€313K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

59times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each

378times

Every number was expected about that many times after 720 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 19, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 February 2023 — its closest relative in 720 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 December 2023): 19 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.4 by chance€154,202
  • 4+133≈ 37 by chance€850
  • 4+0220≈ 332 by chance€149
  • 3+11,373≈ 1.8k by chance€27.23
  • 3+09,971≈ 16k by chance€12.18
  • 2+119,150≈ 28k by chance€4.88
  • 2+0148,875≈ 250k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1286,992≈ 287k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 148,875 winners, 40% fewer than the 250k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€154,202
    4+133€850
    4+0220€149
    3+11,373€27.23
    3+09,971€12.18
    2+119,150€4.88
    2+0148,875€3.00
    0+1286,992€1.50